>> What's the total amount of money in the whole world ?
>> Charles
>
> That depends on what the definition of "money" is, isn't it?
> -raghu.

Money is debt and at the same time credit, since debt and credit are
the same thing: in other words, if you are the lender, what you give
is credit, and if you are the borrower, what you give is debt, a
promise to make future payments. One is "asset", the other is
"liability", yet credit=debt. When banks borrow, they give their debt
to lenders and get their credit. They can then give a portion of that
credit to a borrower and get their debt. Then the borrower gives that
credit some other bank and get the banks debt. And it can go on like
this forever. This is how money is created. Every financial
transaction creates a debtor and a creditor, so every financial
transaction creates money. How fast money is created depends on what
portion of the credit you get can be given to a borrower or,
alternatively, on what portion of the credit you received must be kept
in your reserves. If there are no reserve requirements, money can grow
indefinitely. So, it is very difficult to know what the total amount
of money in the whole world is in these days, since reserve
requirements were miniscule. By the way, whenever a debt is paid back
or defaulted, money is destroyed.

Nowadays, money is contracting fast because banks (real or shadow) of
this financial system are not willing to lend so not much new money is
being created, and the defaults and debts paid are destroying money.

I like this Ambrose Evans-Pritchard whose article below may be useful.
She is very sharp.

Best,
Sabri

+++++++

Sharp US money supply contraction points to Wall Street crunch ahead


By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
Financial Times, Last Updated: 12:01AM BST 23 Aug 2008

The US money supply has experienced the sharpest contraction in modern
history, heightening the risk of a Wall Street crunch and a severe
economic slowdown in coming months.
Data compiled by Lombard Street Research shows that the M3 ''broad
money" aggregates fell by almost $50bn (£26.8bn) in July, the biggest
one-month fall since modern records began in 1959.

"Monthly data for July show that the broad money growth has almost
collapsed," said Gabriel Stein, the group's leading monetary
economist.
On a three-month basis, the M3 growth rate has fallen from almost 19pc
earlier this year to just 2.1pc (annualised) for the period from May
to July. This is below the rate of inflation, implying a shrinkage in
real terms.

The growth in bank loans has turned negative to a halt since March.

"It's obviously worrying. People either can't borrow, or don't want to
borrow even if they can," said Mr Stein.

Monetarists say it is the sharpness of the drop that is most
disturbing, rather than the absolute level. Moves of this speed are
extremely rare.

The overall debt burden in the US economy is currently at record
levels, raising concerns that a recession - if it occurs - could set
off a sharp downward spiral.
Household debt is now 131pc of disposable income, compared with 93pc
at the top the dotcom bubble, 79pc in the property boom of the
late-1980s, and 62pc at the end of the 1970s.
The M3 data measures both cash and a wide range of bank instruments.
It tends to provide an early warning signal of major shifts in the
economy, although the US Federal Reserve took the controversial
decision to stop reporting the statistics in 2005 on the grounds that
the modern financial system had rendered the data obsolete.

Monetarists insist that shifts in M3 are a lead indicator of asset
prices moves, typically six months or so ahead. If so, the latest
collapse points to a grim autumn for Wall Street and for the American
property market. As a rule of thumb, the data gives a one-year advance
signal on economic growth, and a two-year signal on future inflation.

"There are always short-term blips but over the long run M3 has
repeatedly shown itself good leading indicator," said Mr Stein.

He cautioned that the three-month shifts in M3 can be highly volatile.

M3 surged after the onset of the credit crunch, but this was chiefly a
distortion caused by the near total paralysis in parts of the American
commercial paper market. Borrowers were forced to take out bank loans
instead. The commercial paper market has yet to recover.

The University of Michigan's index of consumer sentiment has fallen to
the lowest level since the 1980s recession.

The US economy is without doubt facing severe headwinds going into the autumn.

Richard Fisher, the ultra-hawkish head of the Dallas Federal Reserve,
warned over the weekend that growth would be near "zero" in the second
half of the year.
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