Julio:

> I'm saying yes, but financial assets are ultimately
> claims over real wealth (or its change, income).

Now, tell me Julio: what were the financial assets of Iceland over?

Sabri

++++++++

The New York Times
October 8, 2008
Iceland, in a Precarious Position, Takes Drastic Steps to Right Itself

By ERIC PFANNER and JULIA WERDIGIER
REYKJAVIK, Iceland — The government of Iceland took extraordinary
measures on Tuesday to stave off "national bankruptcy," as the credit
crisis tightened its grip on this remote island nation in the North
Atlantic.

Iceland's banks had propelled years of significant growth, lending so
freely that their assets ballooned to many times the size of the
country's economy. But now the boom has turned to a bust.

In an effort to avoid financial collapse, the government took control
on Tuesday of the country's second-largest bank — its second takeover
in two weeks. And, in a measure more characteristic of troubled
developing economies than one of the wealthiest in the world,
Iceland's central bank pegged the currency to a basket of others.

Most surprising, the government announced that it had asked Russia for
a loan of 4 billion euros, about $5.5 billion, to try to keep the
economy afloat.

Iceland is uniquely exposed to the global economy. Although it has a
population of about 300,000 — smaller than that of Wichita, Kan., or
Tampa, Fla. — it has played an outsize role in global trade. The
country is highly leveraged in international financial markets, and
the total assets of its banks grew to nine times as large as its gross
domestic product at the end of 2006, from 96 percent of its G.D.P. at
the end of 2000. Some estimates place the current size of the banking
sector at more than 10 times as large as the G.D.P.

And Icelandic companies had been aggressively expanding in Northern
Europe and across the Atlantic. The Baugur Group, an Icelandic
investment company, for instance, owns the House of Fraser department
store chain in Britain, as well as a stake in Saks Fifth Avenue.
Another Icelandic company, the FL Group, now called Stodir, has
investments in the parent of American Airlines.

The boom in the financial sector was a relatively recent phenomenon.
The Iceland Stock Exchange was created only in 1985; trading in shares
began several years later. Though Iceland has one of the highest per
capita incomes in the world, not long ago its economy was rooted in
basic industries like fishing.

To stanch the current crisis, the government said it had secured the
backing for a loan from Moscow. But Russian officials told Interfax
that no decision had been made. Iceland later acknowledged that its
announcement had been premature.

The confusion over the status of any loan added to the sense of
bewilderment here over the speed with which the financial situation
went from bad to worse.

"We are still in the midst of events unfolding, and it's impossible to
see where it's going to end up," said Björn Gudmundsson, head of
research at Landsbanki, the second-largest bank in Iceland, after
Kaupthing Bank.

Landsbanki was nationalized on Tuesday under new powers rushed into
effect by the government. At the end of last month, the government
took control of Glitnir, another lender.

"We were faced with the real possibility that the national economy
would be sucked into the global banking swell and end in national
bankruptcy," Prime Minister Geir H. Haarde said late Monday.

Concerns about the government's ability to support the banking sector
have put the currency into a tailspin. The fall in the krona has
pushed inflation into double digits, requiring the central bank to
raise its benchmark interest rate to more than 15 percent.

Mr. Gudmundsson said new financing, like the proposed loan from
Russia, was essential to help the central bank keep the currency from
sliding further; it fell more than 30 percent against the dollar in
the last month.

The central bank said that it had asked Russia about the loan "some
months ago" but that the situation with the country's banks and
economy deteriorated so rapidly over the last two days that a loan
agreement became urgently needed.

It said that Russia — home to branches of Icelandic banks — would
grant the loan for the next three to four years with an interest rate
of up to half of a percentage point above the interbank lending rate.

For Russia, a loan would be a way to show its financial power and
willingness to help distressed economies.

"It's a P.R. stunt to reassert Russia's position in the global economy
of the 21st century," said James Beadle, a fund manager at Pilgrim
Asset Management in Moscow. "But Russia also has a lot of cash it
can't use domestically because of the inflation problem."

In Reykjavik, the government reiterated that all deposits in its banks
were guaranteed. But the crisis could reverberate in foreign markets
where Icelandic banks have set up branches, luring customers with
attractive savings rates.

Customers of Icesave bank in Britain, controlled by Landsbanki, were
not able to access their money on Tuesday. A note on the bank's Web
site did not give any further information.

In the meantime, the deposit compensation unit of the Financial
Services Authority in Britain was readying on Tuesday application
forms for Icesave's 300,000 British customers, who have an estimated
£2.5 billion in deposits with the bank. Icesave provides only an
Internet-based service in Britain; its depositors are partly covered
by Britain's deposit insurance system.

Customers will probably have to wait a couple of weeks to receive
their savings, up to £50,000, a spokesman at the deposit unit said.
Britain recently increased the level of guaranteed deposits to
£50,000.

But in Reykjavic, the government guarantee seems to have reassured
many Icelanders about the safety of their money. There were no signs
of lines at banks for withdrawals.
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