Sunday, October 12, 2008
Alan Greenspan Today 
THE AGE OF TURBULENCE “INTRODUCTION’

Thomas Riggins

The melt down of the world financial system is a good back drop for these 
reflections on the introduction to Alan Greenspan's 2007 memoir. His book THE 
AGE OF TURBULENCE is subtitled, “Adventures In A New World.” The “New World” 
that Greenspan now finds himself in is, however, not the world of his dreams 
but the old world found in the pages of DAS KAPITAL.

Greenspan makes an interesting observation with respect to the brief panic that 
ensued after 9/11. The worst result of the attack could have been the collapse 
of the financial system, which he thought “highly unlikely.” He writes that, 
“The Federal Reserve is in charge of the electronic payment systems that 
transfer more than $4 trillion a day in money and securities between banks all 
over the country and much of the rest of the world.” Greenspan was worried 
because “We’d always thought that if you wanted to cripple the U.S. economy, 
you’d take out the payment systems.”

Well, Mr. Greenspan didn’t have to worry about al-Qaeda taking out the 
financial system since it was brought down, unlike the Twin Towers, by an 
inside job. If he had paid more attention to Karl Marx than to Ayn Rand he 
would have known that the financial collapse of world capitalism will be 
brought about by its own internal contradictions (the greatest of which is the 
private control of socially created wealth) not by attack from without.

Its the economist and political leader Sam Webb, not Alan Greenspan, that hits 
the nail on the head when he writes, "The prevailing ideologies and practices 
that have driven U.S. capitalism for the past three decades have run up against 
their own contradictions and conjured up new and old oppositional forces both 
domestically and internationally."--PEOPLE'S WEEKLY WORLD, Oct. 4-10, 2008

A few pages further on Greenspan makes this announcement about the 9/11 
attacks. “President Bush rallied the nation with what will likely go down as 
the most effective speech of his presidency. ‘America was targeted for attack 
because we’re the brightest beacon for freedom and opportunity in the world,’ 
he said. ‘And no one will keep that light from shining.

What is wrong with this is, besides the fact Bush and his bipartisan Congress 
are the ones most responsible for dimming the light of freedom, it 
misrepresents the reasons for the attack. Al-Qaeda listed specific aspects of 
American foreign policy that led it it to attack the U.S. It objected to our 
troops being stationed in Saudi Arabia (and Bush moved them out) and it 
objected to our Middle East policies including our uncritical (except for some 
window dressing) support of Israel and of unrepresentative dictatorial regimes 
in the region.

Bush’s speech was vapid propaganda designed to mislead the American people and 
lay the foundation for invading Iraq, an enemy of al-Qaeda in the region, in 
order to try and control its oil reserves. With the obliging cooperation of the 
mass media the American people were in fact misled.

At any rate, Greenspan thinks the post 9/11 world is a "new world." It is "the 
world of a global capitalist economy that is vastly more flexible, resilient, 
open, self-correcting, and fast-changing than it was even a quarter century 
earlier." His book, he tells us, "is my attempt to understand the nature of 
this new world." 

Well, his book came out in 2007 and here we are in 2008 with Greenspan's 
resilient and self-correcting "new world" pretty much on the scrap heap. In 
fact we have to go back three quarters (not a quarter) of a century to be able 
to understand the "global capitalist economy."

Needless to say, when Greenspan tells us that at the end of his book he "will 
bring together what we can reasonably conjecture about the makeup of the world 
economy in 2030," he has taken the fatal plunge taken by all utopian thinkers 
trying to see into the future. If you can't see from 2007 to 2008 I doubt that 
you have anything to say about 2030. The Oracle has run out of gas.

I don't mean to rub it in, but this "Introduction" still has a lot of juice to 
squeeze out. He says, for example, "The defining moment for the world's 
economies was the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, revealing a state of 
economic ruin behind the iron curtain far beyond the expectations of the most 
knowledgeable Western economists." Careful, Alan, de te fabula narrantur, as 
the exact same words could be applied to the fall of the American housing and 
mortgage markets in 2008.

He also tells us, "Central planning was no l,anger a subject for debate.... it 
was dropped from the world's economic agenda." Well guess what? The debate is 
coming back. It was lack of planning that led to the current mess and it the 
lack of some central plan that prevents us from seeing the best way out of it. 
The international collapse of the financial system has also flummoxed European 
and Asian powers because they can't agree on a way forward. They seriously need 
some central planning.

Greenspan is just warming up! We are told, "The reinstatement of open markets 
and free trade during the past quarter century has elevated many hundreds of 
millions of the world population from poverty. Admittedly many others around 
the globe are still in need, but large segments of the developing world's 
population have come to experience a measure of affluence [he's talking about 
$2.00 a day] long the monopoly of so-called developed countries."

What a difference a year makes. These gains are being wiped out by the current 
crisis and the spiraling cost of food. Where the gains remain strongest, and 
where most of them occurred, is in China whose "socialist market economy" does 
not qualify yet, by Greenspan's economic philosophy, as an "open market"-- it 
is too regulated. [He has a whole chapter on China, #14, which I hope to review 
later.]

"If the story of the past quarter of a century has a one-line plot summary," 
Greenspan writes, "it is the rediscovery of the power of market capitalism." 
But this time the past is not prelude, as the story of the next quarter century 
will be the rediscovery of the power of regulated capitalism, moves towards 
economic central planning and the growth of socialist and communist parties 
moving towards the eventual socialization of the means of production as the 
only way to eliminate global poverty and environmental destruction.




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