the Bush League would point to the supply-side effects of their
programs: to them, giving the rich more money (rewarding the rich for
being rich) unleashes their creativity, allowing a faster growth of
potential output (long-term aggregate supply), not just aggregate
demand.

Julio Huato wrote:
> Let's break down Bush's fiscal stimulus into its main pieces and use
> basic macro to sketch its effects: (1) massive tax cuts for the rich
> and (2) military spending.
>
> Tax cuts (delta T) to a group of people have a smaller multiplier
> effect than additional government spending (delta G) targeted to same
> group.  In a ridiculously simple economy, delta Y = [1/(1-k)] delta G,
> where Y is real output, and 0 < k < 1 is the marginal propensity to
> consume.  On the other hand, delta Y = [k/(1-k)] delta T.
>
> On top of that, it's well known that rich people have a substantially
> lower k.  You give them an extra dollar (in reduced taxes or a G
> handout) and they are not likely to spend it in current consumption.
> They'll put it away.  But say their k = .5 (i.e. they spend in
> consumption one half of the extra dollar the government gives them),
> then the their T multiplier is 1 -- i.e. there's no multiplier at all,
> since you just get delta Y = delta T.  Now make k < .5 (not unusual
> among the extremely rich, main beneficiaries of Bush's largese) and
> you have a contractionary effect of tax cuts!
>
> Military spending is a form of G, which has a greater multiplier
> effect than T.  Let alone the fact that it is fundamentally wasteful
> (of people and resources), especially when the war is contrary to the
> interest of regular Americans.  The higher multiplier items in
> military spending are the salaries of soldiers -- again, because they
> have the highest k's.  G money appropriated by Bechtel, Halliburton,
> etc. doesn't have much of a multiplier effect, because the Cheney's of
> the world have low k's.  Moreover, in the long and not-so-long run, a
> large portion of this type of G amounts to massive public divestment,
> as documented by Stiglitz and Bilmes.


-- 
Jim Devine /  "Nobody told me there'd be days like these / Strange
days indeed -- most peculiar, mama." -- JL.
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