ravi wrote:

> the goals that the Left aims at are highly unlikely in a
> gradualist (hence the term "progressive" I guess, to imply
> monotonically increasing progress!) framework or reasoning. I would
> suggest this is somewhat like (though not reducible) to Zeno's paradox
> of Achilles and the tortoise. To invert a popular aphorism, the
> "better", in our case, is the enemy of the "perfect".

One thing is how we make decisions and another thing is what we decide.

What I'm arguing is straightforward.  The union's decision to support
Obama (or Clinton or Carter) was made with the resources and within
the context then existing.  And it was made without full certainty of
consequences, good and bad.  Often times, I indulge into Monday
morning quarterbacking myself, but I admit it's silly.

I'm a parent with some experience (good and bad), and I often feel
like I know exactly what my siblings have to do to raise their kids
the right way.  Believe, sometimes they don't even need to ask me for
advice.  I know.  Or so I'd like to believe.  However, when I'm
confronted with a challenge with my own kids, surprisingly my
perception of what I can do to fix things suddenly shrinks to almost
zero.  How come?

When I was an adolescent and was trying to court girls, my older
brother thought I was an idiot.  He tried to coach me a few times.  It
never worked.  It was never possible to apply his recommendations,
because the contexts we speculated about when he was giving me advice
rarely appeared the way we envisioned them.  I had to make my choices
under all the concrete restrictions, uncertainty, and messiness in
which they appeared, with the limited wit I had.

If we look at things over time, this gradualism vs. no gradualism
stuff is a false dichotomy.  First off, breaks in the path of
development of class power are not disconnected from periods of
smoother accumulation of gains.  We may not be able to time those
breaks in advance, but when you look at them in retrospect it's clear
that they are premised on each other.  One damn thing leads to
another.  Evolution doesn't happen without sudden breaks.  Revolutions
don't happen without a previous, relatively gradual accumulation of
tensions.  When exactly people decide to leap in their consciousness
or political practice depends on conditions that evolve unevenly,
conditions that follow the logic of mass dynamics

And that's the second key thing.  For the most part, whether our next
step happens to be gradual or disruptive is rarely up to us.  Our
choices, the things we can really control, have a much narrower scope
than that.  The reason is that gradual or non-gradual, we can only
implement that "choice" collectively, as members of a mass with a
dynamics of its own.  The dynamics of masses is, largely, an alienated
phenomenon.  This is true even for highly regimented institutions,
e.g. armies.  Tolstoi's War and Peace is -- as Lenin noted -- a vivid
description of so-called "friction" in Clausewitzian military theory.
Mass actions are not precisely planned and consciously controlled.
The exact proportion shifts under different conditions, but I'd say
that good leadership of mass movements is 95% sensitivity/adaptation
-- sensitivity/adaptation to mass animus and to the broader conditions
on the ground -- and only 5% the implementation of bright strategic or
tactical ideas.  This, however, shouldn't make us underestimate the
need for constantly aspiring to smarter, more conscious, more
deliberate mass movements.

The reason why, in the current conditions in the U.S., we need to
start small, local, and topical -- and yes, that presupposes that we
strike alliances with other political forces -- is not because we
believe that all growth in our power will be gradual.  I add here
something that makes some people uncomfortable: Supporting the
Democrats is, technically speaking, an alliance, just like not
supporting them is also (by default) an alliance with those who are in
a position to better capitalize the political weakness of the
Democrats.  This is true whether we wish to contemplate the fact or
ignore it.  It follows from cause and effect.

But, again, that we need to start hitting where the political return
is higher doesn't mean that we are committing ourselves to a
gradualist approach to social or political change.  We start by
picking the lowest hanging fruit, because that's a well established,
straightforward, dynamic, historically tested decision rule in
economics, just as it is in politics and warfare:

To advance towards your strategic goal, to win the war, your forces
must be concentrate the attack on a limited number of well-chosen
tactical targets.  Well chosen tactical targets are those that divide
your enemy, force it to disperse forces as they attack, and yield the
highest strategic return.  Unite your enemies, help them concentrate
forces to strike you, disperse your own forces when you attack, choose
the wrong tactics, or confuse strategy with tactics, and you may not
be able to try again.

"Each step of real movement is more important than a dozen programs"
-- wrote a seasoned Marx who was nevertheless dead set on emphasizing
the importance of theory and strategy.  Like Alice in Wonderland, if
you don't know where you're heading, any path will take you there.
However, just like the Neo-Keynesians argue that the long run doesn't
exist but as a sequence of short runs, we have to understand that a
political strategy exists only as a sequence of tactical steps that
you have to get right if the strategy is to have any meaning.

> Employment conditions, as you note above are a top priority of
> workers. To achieve that priority workers need to gain power.
> To gain power, the current accepted vehicle is the union. If
> you are arguing that unions are not the only means to achieve
> worker power, I do not see an alternative offered by you,
> above. What am I missing?

Macro policies to reduce high unemployment and dampen fluctuations in
the employment level are -- historically speaking -- a political
conquest of workers.  Other things equal, higher and more stable
employment strengthens unions.  Also, other things equal, stronger
unions help to keep up those macro policies.  That said, to a large
extent, to get jobs, workers can safely rely on the self-interest of
capitalists.  If capitalists don't exploit workers, then there's no
source of profits.  As the 1990s show it, it is possible to have high
employment with weak unions.  But it's unlikely that you'll have
strong unions with low and unstable employment.

Unions are very important economic organizations of workers.  However,
that doesn't mean that the political development of workers requires
that the unions be rebuilt prior to any significant progress in other
areas.  When unions first appeared under capitalism, pretty much in
the mold of the old guilds and medieval craft organizations, the
capitalist state was undeveloped.  Although Sisyphean in the longer
run, it was much more economical for the workers in a given factory to
take their grievances directly to their bosses.  In these conditions,
unions were crucial for the economic self-defense of workers.  It was
precisely due to the social instability that the direct action
approach caused which led to labor legislation and, later on, to the
welfare state.

When the capitalist state became more robust, e.g. able to enforce
labor laws, the goal of socialists in the 19th century was precisely
to move beyond the mere economic struggle, the private negotiation and
renegotiation between workers and their bosses, and develop political
organizations aimed to change laws and social policies at the local,
regional, or national level.  Obviously, at the outset, the political
organizations were something like an organic extension of unions.  A
strong union movement with national ties is not mutually exclusive
with a broader political effort.  On the contrary, as it's happened
historically, they can feed back into each other.  But, clearly,
socialists have traditionally regarded the political struggle as a
more advanced form of struggle than the relatively more punctual,
isolated struggle of trade unions.  I believe this remains even more
valid nowadays.

In some countries (Mexico, Venezuela come to mind), the unions have
become big obstacles in the political struggle and not infrequently
have sided with the capitalists in concrete and decisive political
struggles, betraying the broader interest of workers.  We are all
somewhat familiar with the history of trade unionism in the U.S.
There's a strong anti-communist tradition in the unions that has
lingered after the end of the Cold War.  In my view, the conclusion
here is that a strong union movement is not a prerequisite for the
political advancement of workers' interest.  At some point, the need
to rebuild the union movement becomes a necessity, but that bridge can
be crossed when we come to it.

Can't proof this.
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