The business cycle hits states at different times, to different degrees.  Their
experiences also differ from one recession to the next.  For instance, West
Virginia, generally a low-income state, had a horrible time in the
80s.  Presently
they are below the national average unemployment rate.  I'm not saying they are
flush, only that in relative terms they are doing better than other places like
Michigan or Rhode Island.  Coming into the present
downturn, state govs had a general fund surplus of about 10 percent, ON AVERAGE.
Naturally some states were doing fine, others like California are in the soup.
CA by the way would not be in nearly such bad shape but for their idiotic fiscal
rules, stemming from their idiotic initiative-and-referendum, stemming from
their idiotic "center-left" electorate.  (The idiotic electorate in my
own super-liberal,
high-income county recently approved a tax limitation law.)



On Tue, Jan 6, 2009 at 11:31 AM, Julio Huato <[email protected]> wrote:
> Max wrote:
>
>> nothing about the inclination of state and local governments to save or
>> use the money [from] tax cuts.  So the Zandi estimates are not apples-
>> to-apples.
>
> You're the expert, Max.  Why wouldn't state and local govs have low
> marginal propensities to save?
>
>> This would also be a great time for a unified universal child tax credit,
>> all of which I would daresay, would be spent.
>
> Mine is already spent.  In my household's spending planning, we've
> been discounting a triumphant communist revolution in 2 years at most.
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