This is a belated response to Ann D.’s important question about the
nationalization of banks.  I unsubbed from pen-l over the holidays,
and am having trouble resubbing, but hopefully this message will go through,
and I will start to receive messages again soon.

I think the government should nationalize any “systematically
significant” bank that is headed for bankruptcy and/or asks the
government for a rescue.

Once banks have become “too big to fail”, and it is recognized that
that the government will always bail out “systematically significant”
banks in order to avoid a systemic collapse, then it follows as a
matter of straightforward logic and economic justice that these banks
should be nationalized.  Otherwise, the implicit bailout promise is a
license to take lots of risks and make lots of money in good times, and
then let the taxpayers pay for the losses in the bad times.

The only way to avoid this legal robbery of taxpayers is to nationalize
the banks, so that we never again have to bailout out the banks in
order to “save the economy”.  If taxpayers are going to pay for the
losses, then they should also receive the profits.  Ironically, the
main justification for private profit is that capitalists take risks
and could suffer losses.  But if the losses are not suffered by the
capitalists, but instead by the taxpayers, then this justification for
private profit disappears.

Nationalized banks would also make the economy more stable in the
future.  Nationalized banks would take fewer risks during an expansion,
in order to avoid debt induced bubbles, that inevitably burst and cause
so much hardship.  For example, there would be no more housing bubbles;
instead, the overall housing policy objective would be to make decent
affordable housing available for all.  With housing more affordable,
mortgages would be more affordable and less risky.

But I am advocating not just nationalization by itself, but
nationalization accompanied by significant haircuts for the existing
bondholders of the bankrupt banks, as in normal bankruptcy proceedings.
 This is a crucial point which is not often recognized.
Nationalization without haircuts is a bailout of the bondholders
(especially if it is partial or temporary).  Nationalization with
haircuts makes the banks solvent again, so they could start lending
again, and contribute to an economic recovery.

Willem Buiter, an economist at the LSE and frequent commentator in the
Financial Times, has suggested a new type of bankruptcy that should be
applied to banks.  He calls it a “regulatory bankruptcy”, which would
allow a government appointed Administrator to modify the debt and
equity structure of banks in danger of bankruptcy in very little time
and with very little transaction costs.  The existing shareholders
would usually be wiped out.  Unsecured creditors would take haircuts in
reverse order of their seniority, as necessary to make the banks
solvent again.

Nationalization with haircuts is clearly superior to the current TARP
policies, which bailout the bondholders at the expense of taxpayers.
Nationalization with haircuts costs taxpayers nothing, and they gain
more public control over the banking system in the future.

It is ridiculous what the government is doing now – giving money to
banks one way or the other, and then begging them to please lend this
money to businesses and households.  Nationalization is clearly the
better solution.  Instead of giving money to the banks and begging them
to lend, the government should nationalize banks in trouble and lend
directly to credit-worthy businesses and households.


Fred


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