A long time ago, David Shemano wrote:
> Before I address your points, I want to say this is one of the most fruitful 
> discussions we have had and perhaps gets closest to what the key issues are 
> that separate us, explain why I am not a socialist, etc.<

I'm glad to help. It helps me clarify my thinking.

me:
>>> IMHO, I answered this already, but let's give another answer. The
>>> question is about the ability of the "political actors"...
>>> to "make better predictions and
>>> decisions than the academic economists." I have three points:
>>>
>>> 1) I can almost guarantee that after the fact, it will turn out that
>>> the political actors will often make the wrong decisions, not just for
>>> the nation as a whole but even for their own political-economic
>>> careers. This is not just because of the incompleteness of
>>> information, the uncertainty of the future, the complexity of the
>>> reality they face, and their personal incompetence, but also due to
>>> old-fashioned venality.

David:
> Fine.  Personally, I doubt incompetence and venality have much to do with it. 
>  I assume most politicians are generally well-intentioned people doing the 
> best they can..<

I'd agree that they're mostly "well-intentioned," but they most often
wear ideological blinders. For
example, Calvin Coolidge probably _believed_ that "the business of
America is business" and that if business prospered it would be the
best for the nation and the world.

>>> 2) Unfortunately, we have no choice. The interconnectedness of our
>>> socioeconomic system makes decision-making for the collectivity (such
>>> as the nation as a whole) not only absolutely necessary but also
>>> unavoidable: the decision not to do anything is just as much a
>>> decision to do something. So even if we see politicians make the
>>> ever-fashionable "let business [especially campaign contributors]
>>> decide what we should do" decision, it's still a collective decision
>>> and (following point 1) most likely to be wrong.

David:
> Yes, choices have to be made.  You say that it is necessary that choices be 
> made "collectively," which you then equate to "politicial."   However, I 
> think you are making a fundamental assumption by equating collective with 
> political, which I think goes to the heart of the issue.<

There's no generally-accepted definition of "political." Instead of
engaging in a fruitless argument about definitions, let's hope that
there's general acceptance of the meaning of "dictator" and talk about
an example.

Suppose that some business wants to pollute the air with toxic
chemicals in order to make a profit. These chemicals hurt and indeed
shorten the lives of those who breathe the polluted air.

Case 1: If that's all that happens, the firm is making a collective
decision; it's making a decision for all of us (or as a libertarian
friend once said, "trespassing on our lungs"). The firm is acting as a
dictator (with respect to this decision), making collective decisions
_for_ us.

Case 2:  A democratically-elected government decides to set up an
Environmental Protection Agency and (going against the spirit of the
last 8 years or so) decides to enforce anti-pollution laws. Then, if
it's doing its job, this EPA would act as a dictator vis-à-vis the
polluting firm. (Even with "cap and trade," the EPA would be imposing
rules on the polluter.) But it would likely be acting as the dictated
party vis-à-vis the voters (though perhaps not very well).

A big problem here is that the government could escape democratic
control, becoming an independent dictatorial force. There are two
obvious responses here (in addition to that of maintaining the _status
quo_). One is for people to force the government to submit to their
collective will (as advised by independent experts). This would get us
back to case 2. The other would be for the firm and its allies to get
rid of the damned dictator or find out how to get it to submit to
their collective will.  This gets us back to case 1.

If the status quo is maintained, it's a different case. But I don't
see why the government would act as an environmental dictator just for
the heck of it. It's more likely to respond to the pressure from the
people or business. Most likely, the "dictator" role of the government
would involve job security for the EPA bureaucrats. As the history of
civil service rules and their absence suggests, that can be a good
thing (look at Bush's Department of Justice!) The inefficiency of
bureaucracy seems an inevitable cost of doing business (as corporate
leaders know, from their experience with their internal hiearchies).
Alternatively, the EPA could become a full-scale kleptocracy (though
this seems unlikely to me). In that case, it's acting like an
unrestrained business firm and so this gets us back to case 1.

Case 3: we could go down the Coase route. If they can get beyond all
their coughing, wheezing, and degenerative diseases, people have to
somehow get together to negotiate with the offending firm to get it to
stop the polluting. Suppose they can get beyond those pesky
transactions costs and confront the firm. Then following Coase, we
could see two results (which he would see as "equally efficient" if I
understand him correctly):

a) The people get the firm to stop polluting and compensate them for
the damages. But then they're acting as a dictator vis-a-vis the firm,
stopping it from pursuing its God-given right to maximize profits in
an unfettered way. Further, the enforcement of this agreement would
require courts, police, etc., again requiring that the firm be
dictated to. BTW, IMHO and FWIW, this process would be most
efficiently done with the standardized rules and regulation of an EPA,
so this case collapses into the second one. This gets us back to case
2.

b) The firm gets the people to pay it not to pollute. In this case,
the firm is acting as a successful
extortionist: if you don't pay us, we'll undermine your health. The
firm is again acting as a dictator. This gets us back to case 1. This
is most likely to occur if the polluted people can't get it together
to negotiate collectively, i.e., if they are divided and ruled.

In sum, as long as there are these kinds of non-individualized
connections between firms and people (i.e., connections that cannot be
reduced to one-on-one bargaining), either the firm, the government, or
the people (or some combination) end up as a dictator.  If the
government is acting as a dictator, it does so either at the behest of
the people (case 2), in the name of business (case 1), or for its own
profit-seeking purposes. The last is really a version of case 1, since
the EPA is acting like a business.

me:
>>> 3) These conclusions also apply to so-called microeconomic actors such
>>> as individual businesses, because they make decisions that affect our
>>> collective fate, whether they know it or not. A business follows the
>>> profit motive to mine coal and sell it to us to burn. This has a
>>> collective impact in encouraging global warming with all its
>>> accompanying disasters. Businessfolks are just as much politicians as
>>> are the officially-recognized political actors. And in fact, they
>>> spend a lot of time and money politicking (e.g., to convince people
>>> that clean coal can exist and that it's okay to take the tops off
>>> mountains). This is not just due to externalities (such as pollution &
>>> mountain destruction) but due to the fact that the work processes they
>>> organize involve miniature versions of the coercive state for those
>>> people they hire.

David:
> You prove too much with this thinking.  If businessfolks are simply 
> politicians, you have no good reason to prefer decisionmaking by poliiticans 
> rather than businessfolks.  And you can't beg the question by pointing to 
> decisions of businesses that have collective effects you don't like, since 
> you appear to agree that politicians are no more likely to make correct 
> policy decisions than people in other institutions.<

I didn't say that businesscritters were "simply" politicians; rather
the point is that they make decisions for not only themselves (and
those with whom they make voluntary agreements) but also for "third
parties." Thus, they act like the politicians in the government, i.e.,
dictating to others.

In terms of the example above, we can think of two extreme types of
politicians: there are those who represent the people (fighting to end
the health damage of the pollution) and those who represent the firms
interests (fighting to maximize their individual gain). Of course,
real-world politicians (of the sort that inhabits both government and
business firms) usually represent a mixture of these extremes.

>>> Feminists used to say (and still should say) that "the personal is
>>> political." We should also say that business is political. Politics is
>>> not just something that happens in specific institutions in society
>>> (the state) but also something that occurs whenever there exist
>>> potential and actual conflicts between people. Except in the totally
>>> isolated and individualized lives of the hermits, politics happens in
>>> all institutions in society.

> Again, you prove too much.  If we define every potential and actual conflict 
> as politics, then effectively everything is politics, and you have no way 
> explaining why "political" decisions should be made by those in government 
> institions as opposed to business instituions, family institutions, etc.<

Everything involves politics, but everything also involves economics,
culture, etc. Sam Bowles and Herb Gintis [a pen-l alumnus]
distinguished two dimensions to explain this stuff: there are
different kinds of practices (actions) and there are different kinds
of sites (institutions). There are political actions in the "economic"
site (e.g., as businesses dictate the air quality to the population
via pollution or dictate joblessness on the community by shutting down
the local plant) just as their are political actions in the family
(e.g., mom & pop deciding which movie to go to). There are also
economic actions in the "economic" site (e.g., combining ingredients
to make a cake) just as in the family. (Sorry, I don't have their
book, DEMOCRACY & CAPITALISM here, so I've probably mangled their
vocabulary.)

>>> Unlike group-think, the _imposition_ of consensus involves hierarchy
>>> (as in academia and corporate business). Socialism, at last as I see
>>> it, involves democratic rule from below. One wag summarized the nature
>>> of socialism as being "the right to fire your boss." This undermines
>>> and ultimately destroys the top-down imposition of consensus.
>>>
>>> With this kind of socialism, we'd likely see a lot of group-think, but
>>> not the same kind of top-down imposition of consensus. But once the
>>> problem of group-think (among peers) is recognized, however, it turns
>>> out that there are democratic ways to oppose it.

> Nice theory, no evidence in the real world that it is practical, stable or 
> produces better decisionmaking measured by any matrix you can come up with.  
> Ultimately, you are left to defend such socialism (lack of hierarchy, etc.)  
> as an end in itself, regardless of its consequences.<

Put it this way, in terms of ideals to struggle for: I prefer the
Rousseauean principle of democratic sovereignty (i.e., that in the end
we the people are supposed to be in charge of our collective affairs)
to the Lockean principle of property-owner sovereignty (e.g., that
somebody's wealth makes them the boss with no obligation to the
collectivity).  In simple terms, the democratic principle of "one
person, one vote" should have precedence over the market principle
"one dollar, one vote." Or: just because Mr. X has a lot of money
doesn't make him the boss of us.

>>> As I said above ..., centralized economic decision-making cannot
>>> be avoided when we're talking about an interconnected socioeconomic
>>> system. It may easily be wrong and often is so ... The key
>>> thing is to hold the political decision-makers (including the
>>> businesses) responsible to the populace (the principle of democratic
>>> sovereignty).

> The fundamental issue.  You equate "collective" with "political" with 
> "centralized." ... <

No I don't. The first two are clearly connected: if the actions of an
individual impact others, it's part of collective affairs. Most people
would see that as political, but as before let's forget that issue.

Does political have to be centralized? Not necessarily. A
decentralized profit-seeking corporation makes collective decisions
for its employees (laying them off, requiring they wear uniforms,
etc.) Going the other way, we can point to a collective problem (such
as helping people with life-long disabilities in a way that doesn't
just shunt them off to "homes" but instead tries to get them involved
in society at large as much as possible, even allowing them to become
productive). A GOP lawmaker (Frank Lanterman) came up with a
decentralized solution (which works pretty well when sufficiently
funded): this is California's system of "Regional Centers." (The main
problem besides inadequate funding that I've seen has been that
different RCs have (often irritating) different interpretations of the
standardized rules.) [*]

>>> We the people may of course make a lot of mistakes even when we
>>> actually have democratic control over the government and other
>>> political institutions (including businesses). But we can learn from
>>> our mistakes, especially if we don't have politicians (who elevate
>>> themselves above us and try to avoid responsibility) to blame.

> You have no evidence or theory why actors in political instituions make less 
> mistakes or learn from their mistakes better than actors in other 
> institutions.<

No, I don't. But in the US at least, those in political institutions
are usually held responsible to the people more than those in
"private" institutions (firms), even though both make decisions for
all of us.

>>> It's true however, that I haven't been involved in running a business
>>> (except the business of living). I _have_ been an employee and know a
>>> thing or two about how businesses are run from that perspective.
>>>
>>> But your barb reminds me of the standard political hack's claim that
>>> his or her opponent has never "made a payroll" or "run a business" --
>>> as if government would be run better if it followed "business
>>> principles." ... Bush and Blagojevich have proven that to be a silly
>>> and wrong criterion for judging politicians....

> You cannot really understand business and businesspeople until you are an 
> employer and deal with the reality that people's lives depend on you.<

sez you. As I write on students' papers "assertion is not argument or proof."

By the way, it should be obvious from the pollution example that I
know that our lives depend on business.

This is enough pen-l for today. See y'all tomorrow!
-- 
Jim Devine / "Disbelief in magic can force a poor soul into believing
in government and business."  -- Tom Robbins

[*] There's another problem with decentralization, but it's more
complicated: instead of there being a standardized system of rules and
services for all disorders, only those disorders which affect the
interests of powerful folks (Lanterman, the Kennedys) get attention.
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