Max Sawicky writes:

We'll have a better fix when we see how he handles the upcoming
entitlement jamboree, also how the fin rescue unwinds.  While the
latter isn't looking so good, there could be course corrections.

[...]

Keep your powder dry, sez I.
==============================
My hunch is that the real litmus test will be how Obama addresses card
check - if he addresses it at all. It seems to me that the administration
will be under more conflicting pressure here since the unions are the best
organized constituency within the DP, and the corporations have been girding
since the election for a fight which directly touches their interests and
which the Republicans think they can win. I suspect the leadership will not
face the same organized pressure from the base over the economy, healthcare,
energy, and even entitlements, although there may be plenty of
disgruntlement. But Obama will be watched like a hawk on card check, and the
room for fudging and compromise seems narrower than in the other areas.
Maybe my hunch is wrong. I'd like to know more from you and others closer to
the scene.

Obama's predilictions - whatever they may be, and I agree they are not
altogether clear yet - will count for something, but as in all cases they
will be still be subordinate to "events. dear boy, events", as the British
PM Harold MacMillan liked to say.


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