In which context, I forgot to post my Christmas sermon from my blog to the list - it's on the tangentially related matter of how one might go about calculating an occupational mortality rate for such occupations as "President of the USA", "Pope" and such like. For those who don't care to read blogs, basically the job of President is incredibly dangerous - just under 10% of all Presidents of the USA there have ever been were assassinated, which corresponds to a death rate of 2283 per 100,000 worker years. This compares to only 400 deaths/100KW/y for Pacific Northwest crab fishermen, which is generally regarded as being the most dangerous occupation in the labour statistics.
http://crookedtimber.org/2008/12/23/the-future-is-a-shoe-being-thrown-at-a-human-face-forever/ best dd > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Sabri Oncu" <[email protected]> > To: "pen-l" <[email protected]> > Subject: [Pen-l] Topic suggestion on statistical problems of history > Date: Sun, 10 May 2009 00:04:28 -0400 > > > Here is a philosophical question: > > The entire history is a single draw from a probability distribution > whose properties evolve over time in a stochastic manner. > > How much can we infer from such a single draw from such a probability > distribution? > > Best, > Sabri > _______________________________________________ > pen-l mailing list > [email protected] > https://lists.csuchico.edu/mailman/listinfo/pen-l > _______________________________________________ pen-l mailing list [email protected] https://lists.csuchico.edu/mailman/listinfo/pen-l
