Gulf officials deny dollar shift plans
Emerging Markets - 6th October 2009
By Gareth Smyth

Saudi governor reaffirms position in an EM interview

Gulf officials moved on Tuesday to assure markets they were not planning to
abandon the dollar as the established currency for trading crude oil.

Muhammad Al Jasser, the Saudi central bank governor, told reporters in
Istanbul, where he is attending the Annual Meetings, that a report in
Tuesday¹s London-based Independent was ³absolutely incorrect².

The newspaper claimed there had been ³secret meetings² of oil producers
involving the Gulf states, China, Brazil and Russia aimed at replacing
dollar denomination with a basket of currencies by 2018.

Al Jasser denied Saudi Arabia, the world¹s largest oil exporter, had been in
any such talks. Meanwhile, the United Arab Emirates Central Bank said that
oil exporters would ³stay with the dollar².

Al Jasser, the Saudi governor, told Emerging Markets in an interview on
Saturday that the dollar had ³served our interests well².

³One hundred per cent of our exports are in the dollar, more than 70% of our
imports are denominated in the dollar. Why would you want to give up such a
natural hedge without a better alternative? Right now I don¹t see one.²
Saudi Arabia ­ like all Gulf Co-operation Council countries other than
Kuwait ­ pegs its currency to the dollar. Al Jasser said this was due to
pragmatic considerations: ³It¹s not like we adopt a system and go to sleep.
We worry about all these things, we analyse, and take action where
necessary.² 

Yesterday¹s report apparently sparked a fall in the dollar in early trading
against 15 of its 16 most-traded counterparts. But following further
comments from Gulf officials, the dollar rallied, reversing losses against
the Euro in trading in London.

The governor of the Iranian Central Bank of Iran, Mahmoud Bahmani, told
Emerging Markets on Monday that Iran was ³steering clear² of the dollar in
its oil sales. 

But Iran began to avoid the greenback at least two years ago, partly in
response to US banking sanctions. While sales remain set in dollars, as is
the norm of the international market, Iran has been receiving payment in
other currencies. 

Oil traders have generally preferred the simplicity and clarity of the
dollar rather than the alternative of denominating in a basket of
currencies. Oil exporters are also sensitive to anything that could provoke
further instability in a market where oil fell dramatically from highs near
$147 a barrel in mid-2008 to under $40 earlier this year, before recovering
to around $70 today. 


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