http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704541304575100003251066776.html

<IMF conditions on loans "go against Chavez's DNA," said Boris Segura, an
economist with the Royal Bank of Scotland, who said it is unlikely Mr Chavez
and the IMF would ever agree to a loan deal.>

Give Boris a raise. He is following developments closely.

Chávez, Shunning IMF, Gushes About China Oil-for-Credit Deal

By Dan Molinski
The Wall Street Journal
March 04, 2010

CHINA has become a much-needed funding source for recession-racked
Venezuela, as well as a welcome alternative to the International Monetary
Fund, which President Hugo Chavez continues to shun.

Mr Chavez, a socialist who for years has been cultivating strong ties with
China, said last week that Venezuela has already spent most of the $US8
billion ($8.8bn) that Beijing recently loaned it.

The Venezuelan President said he liked the arrangement so much so that he is
asking for more.

"They (China) have provided $US8 billion, and we're talking about them
bumping that up to near $US20 billion," Mr Chavez said. "That's our
proposal, and it's being discussed now."

The credit-for-oil arrangement benefits Venezuela, which puts the money in a
fund used mostly for job-creating infrastructure projects as its
oil-dependent economy reels from the impact of lower crude prices. Gross
domestic product shrank 3.3 per cent last year.

It also benefits China, which has plenty of access to dollars through its
massive holdings of US Treasury bonds, but faces increasing oil needs to
fuel its robust economic growth.

After oil prices soared to records in mid-2008, China accelerated the
reconfiguration of state-run refineries to handle more of the cheaper, heavy
crudes - the kind Venezuela produces.

Officials at the Export-Import Bank of China and the China Development Bank
were unable to provide information regarding the Venezuela fund.

The two banks have been involved in four credit-for-oil deals that China has
signed since the start of last year - with Russia, Brazil, Kazakstan and
Venezuela.

Mr Chavez is also using the loan from China to thumb his nose at the IMF and
other Washington-based multilateral lenders, which he says have forced
"savage neo-liberalism" on Latin America and other regions in return for
low-interest loans.

"When Venezuela used to get financing, the IMF would come here and impose
conditions and rules, and sometimes it would even dismantle our laws," Mr
Chavez said last week. "But now, with China and Venezuela, we're on equal
footing."

An IMF official in Washington said the institution wouldn't comment on Mr
Chavez's remarks.

While other Latin American countries have gone to the IMF for loans during
the past decade, Mr Chavez has never in his 11 years in power asked the
organisation for money, not even when the Venezuelan economy was going
through some rough patches.

IMF country loans often arrive tagged with a requirement that the government
undergo macroeconomic reforms such as privatising unprofitable state
concerns, reducing public spending and meeting strict fiscal targets.

IMF conditions on loans "go against Chavez's DNA," said Boris Segura, an
economist with the Royal Bank of Scotland, who said it is unlikely Mr Chavez
and the IMF would ever agree to a loan deal.

The deal with China makes sense for Mr Chavez and China, Mr Segura said, as
it satisfies China's need for more natural resources, and doesn't seem to
have any political agenda attached.

In 2007, Mr Chavez said Venezuela was quitting the IMF, blaming its policies
of tight budget controls and privatisations for the poverty that continues
to grip his country and the region.

Technically, however, Venezuela remains an IMF member as a formal withdrawal
would have broken by-laws of the country's sovereign debt and required that
it fully pay back bondholders.

With credit-for-oil deals with China, it seems unlikely Mr Chavez will be
returning Venezuela to the arms of the IMF any time soon. Two of Mr Chavez's
predecessors -Carlos Andres Perez and Rafael Caldera - swore during their
presidential campaigns not to make deals with the IMF, only to agree to them
once they were in office and facing economic woes.

The deal with the Chinese has the added benefit of boosting Venezuela's oil
deliveries to China, which could help Mr Chavez in his efforts to reduce oil
sales to the US, currently the main buyer of Venezuelan crude.

Venezuela says it sends about 400,000 barrels of oil a day to China and
hopes to lift that to 1 million bpd before long. Chinese data for 2009,
however, shows imports of Venezuelan crude oil and fuel oil at just under
200,000bpd.

Venezuela currently produces about 2.3m bpd, according to independent
estimates.

Additional reporting by Simon Hall in Beijing and David Winning in Sydney

--
Robert Naiman
Policy Director
Just Foreign Policy
www.justforeignpolicy.org
[email protected]
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