by G. Pascal Zachary, Special to The Chronicle
Sunday, March 14, 2010
http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2010/03/14/RV7D1CCONQ.DTL

The big short
Inside the doomsday machine
By michael lewis
Norton; 266 pages; $27.95.

Freefall america, free markets, and the sinking of the
world economy
By joseph e. stiglitz
Norton; 361 pages; $27.95

In "The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine," Michael
Lewis adds to his impressive collection of beautifully
written books with a fascinating tale about professional
investors who foresaw the financial debacle - and
profited from it. In presenting a quirky array of smart,
self-serving characters, Lewis intends to help fans of
his storytelling understand what went wrong with
American capitalism in the early 21st century.

The stars of "The Big Short," whom Lewis describes with
meticulous detail, definitely see beyond the curve and
around the bend. Contrarians, they bet against the real
estate market and the very companies that the U.S.
government so expensively bailed out in 2008 and 2009.
They even wonder aloud about whether the pillars of
American finance committed crimes as well as technical
errors and moral outrages by peddling financial
instruments - designed to "hide the risk by complicating
it," Lewis smartly says - that seem destined, sooner or
later, to fail miserably.

"That's fraud," one of Lewis' heroes exclaims after
divining the flaws in a particularly abusive investment
vehicle. But rather than call the police, regulators or
the media, this shrewd investor benefits from what he
describes as "a stunning opportunity." None of the other
investors chronicled by Lewis blow the whistle to
authorities either, behaving instead like bystanders in
a crowded theater who, when fire erupts, sell
extinguishers to people who unexpectedly find themselves
ablaze.

The moral blindness of the characters in "The Big Short"
never becomes a subject of rumination for Lewis, who is
content to see Wall Street's crackup as a kind of Greek
tragedy. Talented individuals pursue narrow self-
interest and collectively create forces that unleash a
whirlwind of trouble for total strangers. Lewis even
gives space for his short-sellers to crow about their
own perspicacity. In his clever depictions of their
lives, moreover, he neglects the obvious task of
identifying the deeper causes underlying the mayhem.

Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel Prize-winning economist, is not
so shy. In "Freefall: America, Free Markets, and the
Sinking of the World Economy," Stiglitz essentially
writes, "I told you so" over and over again. He presents
a familiar set of villains, notably former Federal
Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, guilty of flooding the
country with cheap money and permitting banks to do
anything they wanted. President Obama comes in for harsh
criticism for simply continuing his predecessor's bank
bailout. He even accuses Obama of a "whitewash" of big
banks whose failures were tragically rewarded by the
president's belief that they were "too big to fail."

Stiglitz disagrees. Instead of giving more piles of free
money to wounded giants, Washington could have seized
the sickest behemoths, such as Bank of America and
Citibank, and either run them as government trusts or
sold them off in pieces. Other countries have done so,
he points out. In a stinging indictment of the
government's response under both George W. Bush and
Obama, he concludes: "The U.S. taxpayer put out hundreds
of billions of dollars and didn't even get the right to
know what the money was being spent on." The result was
awful: "U.S. banks carried on paying out dividends and
bonuses and didn't even pretend to resume lending."

Six months ago, Stiglitz's boldest ideas might have been
easily dismissed as too radical. But today, with
joblessness stubbornly high and the economy stagnating,
the financial crisis is clearly not over. A new wave of
foreclosures and sinking real estate prices call into
question rosy forecasts of newfound stability.

While he allows that the "free fall" of the U.S. economy
has ended, Stiglitz expects long-term declines in
American living standards, for instance, and thinks that
the government must borrow even more heavily to support
current consumption and investment in infrastructure.

The obvious question is if Stiglitz is so smart, why
isn't Obama listening to this guy? The main reason is
that the president's leading economic advisers, notably
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and Fed Chairman Ben
Bernanke, engineered the tragically flawed financial
bailout. From reading Stiglitz, these Obama buddies
appear to be the equivalent of war criminals who, in a
more just world, would be awaiting trial and
imprisonment.

Only by pressing the presidential restart button might
Obama get a handle on the nation's economic woes,
starting with the reinvention of financial regulation.
Unlikely. Since Wall Street seems to own both the
Democratic and Republican parties, the chance for any
reforms seems slim to none, at least under the current
president and Congress.

The dismal state of affairs brings us back to Lewis,
whose chronicle of how a few people profited from the
misery of many highlights the basic unfairness of life
in an America where justice is mocked by both private
greed and public glory. Even as Obama carries on about
hope and making America great again, the hard evidence
suggests that winners cheat and cheaters win in the land
of free. How else to explain a situation where the
people who caused the crackup, and have failed
repeatedly to fix it, still have their hands on the
steering wheel of the American economy? Even worse,
Lewis dourly concludes, "those same financiers (are)
using the government to enrich themselves."

G. Pascal Zachary, a former writer for the Wall Street
Journal, is the author of "The Diversity Advantage:
Multicultural Identity in the New World Economy." E-mail
him at [email protected].
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