On Mar 26, 2010, at 9:35 AM, Jim Devine wrote:

> from SLATE:
>> Jobless Recoveries Are Here To Stay
>
>> At the Atlantic, Derek Thompson pores over the findings of a new  
>> (and very depressing) jobs report whose title asks, "Are Jobless  
>> Recoveries the New Norm?" Short answer: It's looking like it.  
>> According to Thompson, the report's biggest takeaway is that we're  
>> "no longer [in] a firing crisis. It's a hiring crisis." Despite GDP  
>> growth, job openings are still at record lows, Thompson says, and  
>> it's probably not going to improve soon. Even when demand does  
>> start to pick up again and businesses do consider expanding,  
>> they're more likely to give current employees more hours rather  
>> than take on new people entirely. At the moment, the average  
>> workweek is 33.1 hours—a hair above the all-time low of 33 hours.  
>> Finally, Thompson says, the unemployment rate doesn't distinguish  
>> how long people have been out of a job, meaning that it doesn't  
>> take into account whether somebody has been unemployed for more  
>> than 27 weeks—which half of people currently looking for work have  
>> been. This is the biggest change from previous recessions, which  
>> saw firing play a bigger role than lack of hiring. "During the past  
>> three recessions," the Cleveland Fed report says, "the decline in  
>> the job finding rate has been playing a bigger role in unemployment  
>> rate fluctuations. Relative to the change in separations, the job  
>> finding rate changed (declined) much more in the last three  
>> episodes."
>
>> Read original story in The Atlantic 
>> [http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2010/03/the-mother-of-all-jobless-recoveries/38004/
>>  
>> ] | Thursday, March 25, 2010  <

Reported long ago in LBO. Subscribe today, instead of waiting for  
Slate to catch up.



Doug Henwood
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