It is almost certain that a pre-condition of Hastings' extended access was
that the  article pass a military censor on McChrystal's staff. So,
McChrystal would have read it, including the unflattering descriptions of
Obama and his staff.   Thus, it's very plausible that McChrystal knew the
effect the article would have. This supports the theory that "the COIN
strategy was not working and McChrystal wants to get out before everything
begins to fall apart". Gen. Tommy Franks did similarly.

Based on the Rolling Stone article, McChrystal estimated that killing an
Afghan created ten insurgents. Likely, he would have also known the rate at
which we were creating allies among Afghans. We can infer that the reported
payoffs to Taliban leaders were a desperate attempt to increase the rate at
which we were making allies. Similarly, the fact that US troops felt that
their lives were endangered by the limits imposed on shooting shows that
McChrystal was desperate to lower the rate at which insurgents were created.
I believe he knew that more insurgents were being created than allies, and
that the counterinsurgency war was, therefore, unwinnable.

Was this a bad strategy? I don't think so. I think it showed a better
insight than what we had in Vietnam which we attempted to fight more like a
conventional war. It reflected the subtlety of winning hearts and minds. The
problem is that McChrystal inherited a situation where it was very hard to
make his strategy work. Having experienced "shock and awe," attempts to
steal their resources, and re-make Muslim society following a Western model,
there was little possibility of trust -- a pre-condition of making allies.
The seeds of failure were sown back during the Bush administration. The
sooner we recognize that the war is lost, the better. 

None of the foregoing, however, is meant to justify the war. 

Peter

-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of ken hanly
Sent: Wednesday, June 23, 2010 5:32 PM
To: pen-l
Subject: [Pen-l] Why did McChrystal want to be fired.

  After thinking about why McChrystal would allow Michael Hastings to tag
along with his group and record all those disrespectful remarks I concluded
as did Michael Perelman that it was deliberate. The mainstream media does
not seem to be dealing with this. Anyway this article follows the same track
as Michael's earlier post.

http://www.allvoices.com/contributed-news/6145845-why-did-mcchrystal-want-to
-be-fired 

Consider this. McChrystal allowed Michael Hastings a reporter for the
leftish and antiwar Rolling Stone magazine to tag along with him and his
staff for about a month. He was able to tape all sorts of intimate details
about their escapades and some offensive remarks about prominent U.S.
officials. He then wrote a long article in the Rolling Stone containing all
of this material that showed clear disrespect for the chain of command and
also retired generals, the U.S. ambassador and on and on. His staff called
ISAf the International Security Assistance Force, I Suck At Fighting. There
has been no attempt by McChrystal to deny anything said in the article or
even to suggest that remarks were taken out of context. 
 I assume McChrystal knew what the result of such an article would be. He
would be forced to resign or be fired. I assume also that he must have
wanted this result. If you think that this is not so then please explain to
me why he would allow the statements the reporter recorded be made both by
him and his staff, a reporter opposed to his policy and the war and who
would like nothing better than to discredit the whole war effort?
  That question being answered then we must ask why he wanted to be fired. I
am not sure but here I give one possibility. Perhaps commentators can add
others.
   The COIN strategy was not working and McChrystal wants to get out before
everything begins to fall apart. That may be quite soon. Pakistan and
Aghanistan are not even waiting. They are already negotiating as to how they
can make peace with insurgents both in Pakistan and Afghanistan even with
the dreaded Haggani network. Even McChrystal calls Marjah a bleeding ulcer.
The COIN strategy is meant to take years if not decades but Obama wants to
start withdrawal by next year. McChrystal's policy of trying to avoid
civilian casualties is not well accepted among many troops. He has found it
a very difficult sell. Finally he is not winning hearts and minds of
Afghans. Solution. Get out and take a few swipes at those you dislike while
going out the door.
 He will remain a hero and if things turn out badly there will always be
some who will say that if only McChrystal had stayed in charge the U.S.
would have won.
  Obama is left with same failing policy and with the former Bush General,
Petraeus in charge. Obama and McChrystal did not really disagree about the
COIN policy so it will probably continue with more casualties on all sides
and for years if not decades unless the political situation makes it
unsustainable.




 Blog:  http://kenthink7.blogspot.com/index.html
Blog:  http://kencan7.blogspot.com/index.html

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