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Goldman's Best Trade Ever

Why the Wall Street firm agreed to pay the SEC's $550 million fine.

By Daniel Gross
Posted Friday, July 16, 2010, at 10:10 AM ET

Goldman Sachs has long been known for being a sharp trader. And the
settlement announced with the Securities and Exchange Commission on
Thursday seems like a great trade. Goldman agreed to pay $550 million
to settle charges that it had misled investors about mortgage-related
products. How is this a smart trade for Goldman, its top executives,
and its shareholders? Let us count the ways.

First, Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein traded a settlement for his job.
When the SEC complaint was unveiled in April, Goldman blustered that
the charges were bogus and it would fight them to the finish. But as
the months passed, Goldman's image and shares continued to suffer from
the ongoing probe. The longer it went on, the more questions were
raised about the ability of Blankfein and his management team to lead
the company. Goldman's brass clearly came to several related
conclusions: The firm's image had been damaged. A lengthy probe would
cause more damage. And even a complete exoneration, were it ever to
come, wouldn't help them all that much. With the settlement concluded,
Goldman can return to focusing on the future. And if Goldman continues
to rack up great results while avoiding trouble, Blankfein will be
secure in his post.

Second, Goldman traded a settlement for a better story line. It can
now claim both deniability—it didn't do anything wrong—and a less
harsh official view of its actions—what it did do isn't what the SEC
originally said it did. SEC settlements are like kabuki theater: The
Wall Street firm is allowed to tell the public and its employees that
it didn't really do anything wrong. As the Goldman release notes: "The
firm entered into the settlement without admitting or denying the
SEC's allegations." This language also allows the SEC and everybody
else to conclude that, yeah, the subjects of the investigation
probably did something wrong—otherwise they wouldn't be paying a fine
and settling. In this instance, Goldman traded cash for the ability to
deny wrongdoing and for a downgrading of the bad acts that it neither
admitted nor denied. The original complaint made allegations of fraud,
saying that Goldman made "materially misleading statements and
omissions" in marketing structured financial products. But the
settlement acknowledges that Goldman's misdeeds were more like sins of
omission. The firm acknowledges that "its marketing materials for the
subprime product contained incomplete information."

Third, Goldman traded a small amount of cash for a huge stock gain.
The cost of the settlement is $550 million, which is what Goldman can
make in a few good weeks. But consider the tangible immediate return.
On Thursday, the stock opened at $140. Friday morning, it's set to
open at $150, in large measure because investors are relieved that the
investigation has been settled. So for agreeing to pay $550 million,
Goldman saw its market capitalization increase by about $5 billion.
That's a nine-fold return on investment in a single day.

A final note about the number: The $550 million figure was symbolic.
Coincidentally—or not—that was the amount of the bonus that former
junk-bond king Michael Milken made in 1986. Milken was forced to pay a
then-record $400 million fine to the SEC in 1990. So the $550 million
figure allowed the SEC to trumpet the fine as the biggest penalty ever
paid on Wall Street. "Half a billion dollars is the largest penalty
ever assessed against a financial services firm in the history of the
SEC," said Robert Khuzami, director of the SEC's Division of
Enforcement. That's true. But, here, again, Goldman made a smart
trade. Adjusted for inflation, Goldman's fine isn't the largest in
history: $550 million in 2010 dollars is worth only $330 million in
1990 dollars.

Daniel Gross is the Moneybox columnist for Slate and the business
columnist for Newsweek. You can e-mail him at [email protected] and
follow him on Twitter. His latest book, Dumb Money: How Our Greatest
Financial Minds Bankrupted the Nation, has just been published in
paperback.

Article URL: http://www.slate.com/id/2260784/

Copyright 2010 Washingtonpost.Newsweek Interactive Co. LLC

-- 
Jim Devine
"All science would be superfluous if the form of appearance of things
directly coincided with their essence." -- KM
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