Charles:
> Real leftist, organic intellectuals are helping to develop the
> language to turn the masses of white Americans against Fox News and
> the Tea Party gambit.

Leftist? I can't see any difference between this analysis and what 
I hear each evening from MSNBC. Charles, it is not Fox News that 
is running the country. It is Obama and his gang. They are 
presiding over an unemployment rate that might be as high as 16 
percent, considering the discouraged. He has done nothing to 
satisfy the vain hopes of the Nation Magazine et al to be a new 
FDR, for what that's worth. If you forget about party labels, 
Obama is to the right of Richard Nixon. In fact, there are good 
grounds for describing him as the new Herbert Hoover, not the new FDR.

http://www.harpers.org/archive/2009/07/0082562?redirect=1982284879

Barack Hoover Obama:
The best and the brightest blow it again

By Kevin Baker

Kevin Baker’s most recent novel, Strivers Row, is the final 
installment in his “City of Fire” trilogy about New York City. His 
last article for Harper’s Magazine, “Change Without Movement,” 
appeared in the June 2009 issue.

Three months into his presidency, Barack Obama has proven to be 
every bit as charismatic and intelligent as his most ardent 
supporters could have hoped. At home or abroad, he invariably 
appears to be the only adult in the room, the first American 
president in at least forty years to convey any gravitas. Even the 
most liberal of voters are finding it hard to believe they managed 
to elect this man to be their president.

It is impossible not to wish desperately for his success as he 
tries to grapple with all that confronts him: a worldwide 
depression, catastrophic climate change, an unjust and inadequate 
health-care system, wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, the ongoing 
disgrace of Guant·namo, a floundering education system.

Obama’s failure would be unthinkable. And yet the best indications 
now are that he will fail, because he will be unable—indeed he 
will refuse—to seize the radical moment at hand.

Every instinct the president has honed, every voice he hears in 
Washington, every inclination of our political culture urges 
incrementalism, urges deliberation, if any significant change is 
to be brought about. The trouble is that we are at one of those 
rare moments in history when the radical becomes pragmatic, when 
deliberation and compromise foster disaster. The question is not 
what can be done but what must be done.

We have confronted such emergencies only a few times before in the 
history of the Republic: during the secession crisis of 1860–61, 
at the start of World War II, at the outset of the Cold War and 
the nuclear age. Probably the moment most comparable to the 
present was the start of the Great Depression, and for the scope 
and the quantity of the problems he is facing, Obama has 
frequently been compared with Franklin Roosevelt. So far, though, 
he most resembles the other president who had to confront that 
crisis, Herbert Hoover.

The comparison is not meant to be flippant. It has nothing to do 
with the received image of Hoover, the dour, round-collared, 
gerbil-cheeked technocrat who looked on with indifference while 
the country went to pieces. To understand how dire our situation 
is now it is necessary to remember that when he was elected 
president in 1928, Herbert Hoover was widely considered the most 
capable public figure in the country. Hoover—like Obama—was almost 
certainly someone gifted with more intelligence, a better 
education, and a greater range of life experience than FDR. And 
Hoover, through the first three years of the Depression, was also 
the man who comprehended better than anyone else what was 
happening and what needed to be done. And yet he failed.

The story of the real Herbert Hoover reads like something out of 
an Indiana Jones script, with touches of Dickens and the memoirs 
of Albert Schweitzer. Orphaned and penniless by the age of nine, 
Hoover was raised by an exploitative uncle who considered him more 
chattel than son. He had no illusions about the America he grew up 
in, writing years later, “As gentle as are the memories of the 
times, I am not recommending a return to the good old days. 
Sadness was greater, and death came sooner.”

Removed from public school at fourteen to work as his uncle’s 
office boy, Hoover nonetheless learned enough at night school to 
make the very first class at the newly opened Stanford University, 
where he studied geology and engineering. He paid his own way by 
working as a waiter, a typist, and a handyman, and eventually 
running a laundry service, a baggage service, and a newspaper 
route. (Unsurprisingly, his favorite book was David Copperfield.) 
After graduation, he ran mining camps and scouted new strikes 
around the globe. It was an adventurous life; on one occasion he 
made a small fortune by following an ancient Chinese map and tiger 
tracks into a moribund silver mine in Burma. By the time he was 
forty, Hoover was worth $85 million in today’s dollars, and he 
retired from business to take up public life. “The ideal of 
service,” he would later write, was no burden on the striving 
entrepreneur but a “great spiritual force poured out by our people 
as never before in the history of the world.”

He had long lived up to his ideals. Caught in the siege of the 
Western delegations in Peking during the Boxer Rebellion of 1900, 
only Hoover and his fearless wife, Lou, cared enough to sneak food 
and water to the Chinese Christians besieged elsewhere in the 
city. He first came to national attention after the start of World 
War I, when he led the effort to feed the 7 million people of 
occupied Belgium and France. He worked for free, donated part of 
his own fortune to the cause, and risked his life repeatedly 
crossing the U-boat–infested waters of the North Atlantic. His 
postwar relief efforts rescued millions more throughout Europe and 
especially in the Soviet Union; it’s unlikely that any other 
individual in human history saved so many people from death by 
starvation and want. Questioned about feeding populations under 
Bolshevik control, he banged a table and insisted, “Twenty million 
people are starving. Whatever their politics, they shall be fed!” 
In 1920, many people in both major parties wanted to run him for 
president, but he opted for the Republican cabinet. As secretary 
of commerce under Warren Harding and Calvin Coolidge, he was a 
dynamic figure, tirelessly promoting new technologies, work-safety 
rules, and voluntary industry standards; he supervised relief to 
Mississippi and Louisiana during the terrible 1927 floods and 
advocated cooperation between labor and management.

“We had summoned a great engineer to solve our problems for us; 
now we sat back comfortably and confidently to watch the problems 
being solved,” the journalist Anne O’Hare McCormick wrote of 
Hoover’s inauguration in March 1929, in words that might easily 
have been used in January 2009. “Almost with the air of giving 
genius its chance, we waited for the performance to begin.”

Genius got its chance less than eight months after Hoover was 
sworn in, when the stock market collapsed. At the time, such an 
event wasn’t seen as having anything much to do with the 
president. Wall Street crashes happened every five to ten years in 
the old American economy, and it was understood that these crashes 
would sometimes start nationwide recessions. They might last a 
year or two, like the recession that started in 1920, or for much 
longer, like the devastating depression that began in 1873 and, 
according to some economists, didn’t really end until 1897. How 
long would it take to recover from the crash of ‘29? Who could 
know? Mere politicians were supposed to leave the outcome to the 
workings of the market. But Hoover—much like Obama—plunged right 
in, with a response that was designed to rise above old 
ideological battles and effect a new partnership between the 
public and private sectors. Less than a month after the Wall 
Street crash, he began what would be weeks of meetings at the 
White House with hundreds of “key men” from the business world. 
There the president briefed them on everything he had done so far 
and urged them to cut as few jobs as possible for the duration of 
the slump. He also encouraged public and private construction 
projects, signed bills recognizing the right of unions to 
organize, and used the fledgling Federal Reserve both to ease 
credit and to discourage banks from calling in their stock-market 
loans.

All of these projects were anathema to old-line conservatives in 
Hoover’s own party, such as Andrew Mellon, the tax-slashing 
secretary of the treasury throughout the go-go years of the 1920s 
boom, who offered the president the absurdist advice to let the 
market “liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate the farmers, 
liquidate real estate.” Cutting one of the main ties to the 
trickle-down wisdom of what was suddenly a previous era, Hoover 
eventually shipped Mellon off to serve as ambassador to England.

Yet there remained little immediate action that the president 
could take, hobbled as he was by the limits of a federal 
government that made up less than 4 percent of the GDP and by the 
reluctance of those around him to interfere in any way with the 
sanctity of the markets. At what John Kenneth Galbraith would 
later skewer as “no-business” meetings, the key men of industry 
pledged their full support, then went home to slash wages and cut 
as many jobs as they could. By the end of 1930, the gross national 
product had dropped by nearly 13 percent, unemployment had shot up 
to nearly 9 percent, and over 600 banks had closed. The Democrats 
won a majority in the House of Representatives, but the primary 
response to the Depression offered by their laconic speaker, 
“Cactus Jack” Garner, was a national sales tax designed to balance 
the budget. Liberal legislators in both parties were more 
sympathetic, but they wielded little power.

As the Depression spread around the world, Hoover—like 
Obama—towered above the squabbling, suspicious leaders of Europe 
as well. Only Hoover, who had lived all around the world (like 
Obama) and also been part of the U.S. delegation at Versailles, 
seemed to understand the true threat the Depression posed to the 
global economy. Democratic forms of government were under assault 
everywhere in the West, and especially in the Weimar Republic, 
still staggering under the indemnity the victorious Allies had 
imposed on Germany in 1919. Hoover sought to alleviate the growing 
world credit crunch by pushing through a moratorium on the 
repayment of Europe’s considerable war debt to the United 
States—on the condition that the Allies also forgave Germany its 
indemnity. It was an example of statesmanship at its most 
enlightened, and if any single U.S. action at the time could have 
prevented the rise of the Nazis to power, this would have been it.

Back on the domestic front, Hoover tried to organize national, 
voluntary efforts to hire the unemployed, provide charity, and 
create a private banking pool. When these efforts collapsed or 
fell short, he started a dozen Home Loan Discount Banks to help 
individuals refinance their mortgages and save their homes, and 
created an unprecedented government entity called the 
Reconstruction Finance Corporation. Authorized to spend up to the 
then-astonishing sum of $2 billion, the RFC was a direct rebuttal 
to Andrew Mellon’s prescription of creative destruction. Rather 
than liquidating banks, railroads, and agricultural cooperatives, 
the RFC would lend them money to stay afloat.

Hoover, as the historian David M. Kennedy writes, had shown 
“himself capable of the most pragmatic, far-reaching, economic 
heterodoxy,” a trait that “would in the end carry him and the 
country into uncharted economic and political territory.” New 
Dealer Rexford Tugwell would, many years later, claim that 
“practically the whole New Deal was extrapolated from programs 
that Hoover started.” Indeed, “Hoover had wanted—and had said 
clearly enough that he wanted—nearly all the changes now brought 
under the New Deal label.”

Tugwell’s appraisal, though considerably exaggerated, nonetheless 
testifies to the boldness of Hoover’s program. The only problem 
was that it did not work. The nation’s credit system still would 
not thaw, banks kept falling like dominoes, unemployment rates and 
human suffering continued to rise. For all of his willingness to 
break with precedent and intervene directly in the economy, Hoover 
remained unable to turn his back fully on what Kennedy describes 
as the prevailing “legacy of perception and understanding of 
economic theory.”

As Europe faltered, for instance, foreign gold began to flow out 
of America’s banks and back home. Hoover reacted by increasing 
interest rates and raising taxes, in an effort to further deflate 
the economy, balance the federal budget, and thereby lure the gold 
back. This was the textbook economic response of the time to 
fleeing gold reserves; in the midst of the Great Depression, it 
was a disaster.

Meanwhile, the RFC was derided by populist critics as “bank 
relief” and “a millionaire’s dole”—criticisms echoed today by all 
those who see George W. Bush’s Troubled Asset Relief Program and 
Obama’s own Public-Private Investment Program as outrageous 
giveaways. And, as Kennedy points out, once Hoover had set in 
motion the great bank bailout of 1931, he “had given up the ground 
of high principle” and “implicitly legitimated the claims of other 
sectors for federal assistance.” Critics raised the same 
criticisms they would raise about Obama’s bailout plans 
seventy-eight years later. If the banks get a bailout, why not 
everyone else? Were bailouts only for the rich?

Exacerbating the entire situation was the RFC itself. Hoover’s 
leading weapon to combat the Depression performed with TARP-like 
languor, secrecy, and nepotism. Throughout 1932, as banks 
continued to topple by the hundreds, the RFC disbursed only 
three-quarters of its available money. Although Hoover had 
declared that the agency was “not created for the aid of big 
industries or big banks,” a record of its operations revealed that 
most of its money had indeed gone to a very few of the country’s 
biggest financial institutions. In June of 1932, the RFC’s 
president, Charles G. Dawes—who had just served as vice president 
of the United States under Calvin Coolidge—resigned his post, took 
a new job as head of the Central Republic Bank in Chicago, and 
promptly secured for his employer an RFC loan that nearly equaled 
the bank’s total deposits. Dawes’s successor, Atlee Pomerene, then 
lent another $12 million to a Cleveland bank of which he remained 
a director.

These facts were, in the end, wrestled out in the open only by 
congressional fiat. The recipients of some $642 million of the 
RFC’s loans—nearly half its total expenditures—were not revealed 
at all. Hoover, like Obama, had insisted on secrecy to keep the 
proceedings from being “politicized,” but, inevitably, this fear 
of politicization in the end only led to more politics. The writer 
John T. Flynn, who reported much of the RFC scandal in the pages 
of this magazine, found that most of the money was distributed “by 
a group of directors drawn from those business groups whose 
performances during the pre-crash years have rendered them objects 
of suspicion to the American people” and that the “immense sums 
they dispensed were given to borrowers, many of whom, to put it 
mildly, have forfeited, justly or unjustly, the confidence of the 
people.”

The RFC’s deliberations were understood—with good reason—not as 
effective management but as insider dealing: common financial 
practice through the 1920s, but politically and morally 
insupportable at a time when millions of Americans were losing 
their jobs, their homes, and their savings, and when some were 
literally dying of starvation. What’s more, even the loans that 
were made proved less than effective. The rescued banks, much like 
the rescued banks today, simply hoarded the new capital and 
refused to venture out into the marketplace.

Neither the RFC nor any of Hoover’s other programs did anything to 
seriously address the other major problems then plaguing the 
American economy: the decades-long farm crisis that was sweeping 
away Dust Bowl farmers’ actual soil along with their holdings; the 
near annihilation of the labor movement; a wildly unequal 
distribution of wealth; the lack of any real safety net for the 
old, the indigent, and the unemployable; a corrupt, 
non-transparent financial system that remained largely 
unregulated—in short, the need for systematic, wholesale reform of 
a nation that had foundered on the changing circumstances of the 
modern world.

It would have been very difficult to make most of these changes, 
because by and large they were advocated only by what were then 
the most radical individuals on the fringes of the political 
system. The one thing to be said in favor of such changes was that 
they were absolutely necessary.

By the summer of 1932, the country was in a state of near 
rebellion, with the “Bonus Army” of angry veterans camped out in 
Washington, farmers dumping their produce on the highways in 
protest, and mobs forcibly stopping evictions in the cities. The 
liberals in Congress had moved at last beyond Hoover, with even 
Jack Garner backing a $2.1-billion package of public works and 
direct relief. Hoover vetoed it, warning against the moral 
entrapments of “the dole.”

Why was Herbert Hoover so reluctant to make the radical changes 
that were so clearly needed? It could not have been a question of 
competence or compassion for this lifelong Quaker, who had rushed 
sustenance to starving people around the world regardless of their 
nationalities or beliefs. Ultimately, Hoover could not break with 
the prevailing beliefs of his day. The essence of the Progressive 
Era in which he had come of age—the very essence of his own public 
image—was that government was a science. It was not a coincidence 
that this era brought us the very term “political science,” along 
with the advent of “nonpartisan” elections and “city managers” to 
replace mayors.

Since the 1890s, Hoover and his contemporaries had promoted this 
brand of progressivism as an alternative not only to the political 
and corporate corruption of the Gilded Age but also to the furious 
class and regional warfare that progressivism’s predecessor, 
populism, seemed to promise. Progressivism aspired to be something 
of a political science itself, untrammeled by ideological or 
partisan influence: there was a right way and a wrong way to do 
things, and all unselfish and uncorrupted individuals could be 
counted on to do the right thing, once they were shown what that was.

There were plenty of progressives, led by Teddy Roosevelt, who 
understood that bringing real change meant fighting to bust up 
trusts, regain public ownership of utilities, and secure rights 
for labor, women, and others. But the great national effort 
inspired by World War I softened memories of the bitter class 
conflict that had characterized much of American politics since 
the Civil War, just as the rollicking prosperity of the 1920s 
erased memories of the postwar Red Scare and the crushing of labor 
unions. Throughout the decade, big business sought to co-opt any 
lingering labor resentments by forming “company unions” under what 
they called “the American Plan.” Volunteerism and boosterism would 
take care of the rest. Prosperity would come through an always 
rising stock market.

Hoover’s every decision in fighting the Great Depression mirrored 
the sentiments of 1920s “business progressivism,” even as he 
understood intellectually that something more was required. 
Farsighted as he was compared with almost everyone else in public 
life, believing as much as he did in activist government, he still 
could not convince himself to take the next step and accept that 
the basic economic tenets he had believed in all his life were 
discredited; that something wholly new was required.

Such a transformation would have required a mental suppleness that 
was simply not in the makeup of this fabulously successful 
scientist and self-made businessman. And it was this inability to 
radically alter his thinking that, ultimately, distinguished 
Hoover from Franklin Roosevelt. FDR was by no means the rigorous 
thinker that Hoover was, and many observers then and since have 
accused him of having no fixed principles whatsoever. And yet it 
was Roosevelt, the Great Improviser, who was able to patch and 
borrow and fudge his way to solutions not only to the Depression 
but also to sustained prosperity and democracy. It was FDR, 
brought up with the entitled, patronizing worldview of a Hudson 
Valley aristocrat, who was able to overcome attachments to all 
classes, all theories. It was Roosevelt who understood the 
imperfections, the rough-and-tumble of politics. The programs of 
the First and Second New Deals were a hodgepodge of 
ideologies—which is precisely why they worked. The innovations 
they brought about, however sloppily, were the core of 
twentieth-century American liberalism in that they reflected the 
complex ever-changing realities of the modern world.

Originally, Roosevelt, too, endorsed much of the progressive 
vision—or at least its pale 1920s imitation—as evidenced by his 
National Recovery Administration, a flabby utopian plan that would 
have had business, labor, and government collaborate to set 
prices, wages, and industry standards down to the most minute 
details. The NRA would have carried 1920s-style business 
progressivism right to the doorstep of the corporate state, had it 
been even vaguely workable. But right from the beginning, 
Roosevelt also endorsed reforms, from regulating Wall Street to 
saving the farmers to backing labor unions in their organizing 
wars, that required _conflict—_the only way in which a political 
and economic system can be fundamentally remade. When the NRA 
quickly proved to be a bust, FDR discarded it, and replaced his 
failure with the Second New Deal, in which business, labor, and 
government were situated as countervailing forces against one 
another—a fundamental power shift that enabled advances in both 
prosperity and democracy unmatched in human history.

Much like Herbert Hoover, Barack Obama is a man attempting to 
realize a stirring new vision of his society without cutting 
himself free from the dogmas of the past—without accepting the 
inevitable conflict. Like Hoover, he is bound to fail.

President Obama, to be fair, seems to be even more alone than 
Hoover was in facing the emergency at hand. The most appalling 
aspect of the present crisis has been the utter fecklessness of 
the American elite in failing to confront it. From both the 
private and public sectors, across the entire political spectrum, 
the lack of both will and new ideas has been stunning. When it 
came to the opposition, Franklin Roosevelt reaped the creative 
support of any number of progressive Republicans throughout his 
twelve years in office, ranging from New York Mayor Fiorello La 
Guardia to Nebraska Senator George Norris to key cabinet members 
such as Henry A. Wallace, Harold Ickes, Henry Stimson, and Frank 
Knox. Obama, by contrast, has had to contend with a knee-jerk 
rejectionist Republican Party.

More frustrating has been the torpor among Obama’s fellow 
Democrats. One might have assumed that the adrenaline rush of 
regaining power after decades of conservative hegemony, not to 
mention relief at surviving the depredations of the Bush years, or 
losing the vestigial tail of the white Southern branch of the 
party, would have liberated congressional Democrats to loose a 
burst of pent-up, imaginative liberal initiatives.

Instead, we have seen a parade of aged satraps from vast, windy 
places stepping forward to tell us what is off the table. Every 
week, there is another Max Baucus of Montana, another Kent Conrad 
of North Dakota, another Ben Nelson of Nebraska, huffing and 
puffing and harrumphing that we had better forget about 
single-payer health care, a carbon tax, nationalizing the banks, 
funding for mass transit, closing tax loopholes for the rich. 
These are men with tiny constituencies who sat for decades in the 
Senate without doing or saying anything of note, who acquiesced 
shamelessly to the worst abuses of the Bush Administration and who 
come forward now to chide the president for not concentrating 
enough on reducing the budget deficit, or for “trying to do too 
much,” as if he were as old and as indolent as they are.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid—yet another small gray man from 
a great big space where the tumbleweeds blow—seems unwilling to 
make even a symbolic effort at party discipline. Within days of 
President Obama’s announcing his legislative agenda, the 
perpetually callow Indiana Senator Evan Bayh came forward to 
announce the formation of a breakaway caucus of fifteen “moderate” 
Democrats from the Midwest who sought to help the country make 
“the changes we need” but “make sure that they’re done in a 
practical way that will actually work”—a statement that was almost 
Zen-like in its perfect vacuousness. Even most of the Senate’s 
more enlightened notables, such as Russ Feingold of Wisconsin or 
Claire McCaskill of Missouri or Sherrod Brown of Ohio, have had 
little to contribute beyond some hand-wringing whenever the idea 
of a carbon tax or any other restrictions on burning coal are 
proposed.

President Obama, with a laudable respect for the separation of 
powers, has left the details and even the main tenets of his 
agenda to be worked out by these same congressional Democrats. 
This approach looks like an exercise in democracy drawn from his 
days as a community organizer, the sort of strategy that helps a 
neighborhood to decide whether it wants, say, a health clinic or a 
youth center. What he doesn’t care to acknowledge is that, in the 
case of the U.S. Congress, he’s dealing with a neighborhood where 
maybe half want a health clinic and the rest are holding out for 
grenade launchers and crystal meth.

Some have suggested that this is a subtle strategy to ensure that 
the White House retains the whip hand, that Obama is reserving for 
himself the role of “decider” over competing plans. But what is 
the decision then? Half a health clinic and one grenade launcher? 
A plan for universal health care that is not universal and doesn’t 
cut costs will not work. A plan for combating climate change that 
perpetuates the shibboleth of “clean coal” will do nothing. Far 
from controlling the process, Obama’s procedure is more likely to 
commit him to one of Congress’s nebulous non-plans.

Yet Obama’s lack of direction, his lack of accomplishments in his 
Hundred Days and counting, cannot be attributed solely to his 
illusions about the august body he just vacated. Obama, like 
Hoover in his time, is almost alone among politicians in grasping 
the magnitude of the crisis. In his masterful February speech 
before the joint houses of Congress, Obama explained to the 
country why we cannot afford to continue with a tottering 
health-care system that has left 46 million Americans uninsured 
and that impedes our exports by adding, for instance, $1,500 to 
the cost of every GM car; why it is that climate change has to be 
addressed now, and how by addressing it we can regain our 
industrial base and actually begin to make things again; why it is 
that our financial system could not simply be bailed out and 
patched up but must be fundamentally reformed and re-regulated. 
Above all, he explained the necessary interaction of all these 
reforms, of how they were not just some liberal wish list but the 
actions that the radical moment demanded.

Speeches almost as powerful have followed, always linking these 
ideas together. But, like Hoover, Obama has been unable to make 
his actions live up to his words. Health care is being gummed to 
death on Capitol Hill. Obama has done nothing to pass “card check” 
provisions that would facilitate union organization and quietly 
announced that he would not seek stronger labor and environmental 
protections in NAFTA. He has capitulated on cap-and-trade in the 
budget outline and never even bothered to push for an actual 
carbon tax. Only minuscule portions of the stimulus bill or his 
budget proposals were dedicated to mass transit, and his 
indifference to the issue—what must be a major component of any 
serious effort to go green—was reflected in his appointment of a 
mediocre Republican time-server, Ray LaHood, as his transportation 
secretary.

Still worse is Obama’s decision to leave the reordering of the 
financial world solely to Larry Summers and Timothy Geithner, both 
of whom played such a major role in deregulating Wall Street and 
bringing on the disaster in the first place. It’s as if, after 
winning election in 1932, FDR had brought Andrew Mellon back to 
the Treasury. Just as Herbert Hoover could not, in the end, break 
away from the best economic advice of the 1920s, Barack Obama is 
sticking with the “key men” of the 1990s. The predictable result 
is that, even as he claims to recognize the interlocking nature of 
the problems facing us and vows to solve them as a whole, the 
president is in fact abandoning most of his program, at least for 
the time being.

No doubt, President Obama and his chief of staff, Rahm Emanuel, 
would claim that by practicing “the art of the possible,” they are 
ensuring that “the perfect does not become the enemy of the good.” 
But by not even proposing the relevant legislation, Obama has 
ceded a key part of the process—so much so that his retreat seems 
not so much tactical as a reversion to his core political beliefs.

A major theme of Obama’s 2006 book The Audacity of Hope is 
impatience with “the smallness of our politics” and its 
“partisanship and acrimony.” He expresses frustration at how “the 
tumult of the sixties and the subsequent backlash continues to 
drive our political discourse,” and voices a professional 
appreciation for Ronald Reagan’s ability to exploit such 
divisions. The politician he admires the most—ironically enough, 
considering the campaign that was to come—is Bill Clinton. For all 
his faults, Clinton, in Obama’s eyes, “instinctively understood 
the falseness of the choices being presented to the American 
people” and came up with his “Third Way,” which “tapped into the 
pragmatic, non-ideological attitude of the majority of Americans.”

This is an analysis consistent with Obama’s personal story. Like 
Herbert Hoover, Obama grew up as an outsider and overcame 
formidable odds—hence his constant promotion of personal 
responsibility and education. He came of age in a time when 
hardworking young men and women like him went to Wall Street or to 
Silicon Valley, and—once properly “incentivized” by the likes of 
Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton—seemed to save the national 
economy, creating what appeared to be great general prosperity 
while doing well themselves. There’s no need to do battle with 
these strivers and achievers, individuals as accomplished in their 
fields as Obama is in his. All that’s required is to get them back 
on their feet, get the money running again, and maybe give them a 
few new rules to live by, a new set of incentives to get them back 
on track.

Just as Herbert Hoover came to internalize the “business 
progressivism” of his era as a welcome alternative to the futile, 
counterproductive conflicts of an earlier time, so has Obama 
internalized what might be called Clinton’s “business liberalism” 
as an alternative to useless battles from another time—battles 
that liberals, in any case, tended to lose.

Clinton’s business liberalism, however, is a chimera, every bit as 
much a capitulation to powerful and selfish interests as was 
Hoover’s 1920s progressivism. We are back in Evan Bayh territory 
here, espousing a “pragmatism” that is not really pragmatism at 
all, just surrender to the usual corporate interests. The common 
thread running through all of Obama’s major proposals right now is 
that they are labyrinthine solutions designed mainly to avoid 
conflict. The bank bailout, cap-and-trade on carbon emissions, 
health-care pools—all of these ideas are, like Hillary Clinton’s 
ill-fated 1993 health plan, simultaneously too complicated to draw 
a constituency and too threatening for Congress to shape and pass 
as Obama would like. They bear the seeds of their own defeat.

Obama will have to directly attack the fortified bastions of the 
newest “new class”—the makers of the paper economy in which he 
came of age—if he is to accomplish anything. These interests did 
not spend fifty years shipping the greatest industrial economy in 
the history of the world overseas only to be challenged by a newly 
empowered, green-economy working class. They did not spend much of 
the past two decades gobbling up previously public sectors such as 
health care, education, and transportation only to have to compete 
with a reinvigorated public sector. They mean, even now, to use 
the bailout to make the government their helpless junior partner, 
and if they can they will devour every federal dollar available to 
recoup their own losses, and thereby preclude the use of any 
monies for the rest of Barack Obama’s splendid vision.

Franklin Roosevelt also took office imagining that he could bring 
all classes of Americans together in some big, mushy, cooperative 
scheme. Quickly disabused of this notion, he threw himself into 
the bumptious give-and-take of practical politics; lying, 
deceiving, manipulating, arraying one group after another on his 
side—a transit encapsulated by how, at the end of his first term, 
his outraged opponents were calling him a “traitor to his class” 
and he was gleefully inveighing against “economic royalists” and 
announcing, “They are unanimous in their hatred for me—and I 
welcome their hatred.”

Obama should not deceive himself into thinking that such 
interest-group politics can be banished any more than can the 
cycles of Wall Street. It is not too late for him to change 
direction and seize the radical moment at hand. But for the 
moment, just like another very good man, Barack Obama is moving 
prudently, carefully, reasonably toward disaster.

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