Crisis of Capital, Crisis of Theory: A Conference of the Forum on 
Capital as Power

Guest Lecture
SYSTEMIC FEAR, MODERN FINANCE AND THE FUTURE OF CAPITALISM
Jonathan Nitzan & Shimshon Bichler

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ABSTRACT:

Is capitalism about to collapse? Like every other mode of power, 
capitalism rests on confidence in obedience: the confidence of the 
rulers in the obedience of the ruled. Emperors are sure of their rule 
over obedient subjects and slaves; lords are certain they can rule their 
obedient vassals and serfs; and capitalists trust the obedience of their 
underlying masses. The confidence of rulers is mediated through their 
dominant dogma: when the dogma holds, the rulers are hubristic, 
steadfast and ruthless; when the dogma disintegrates, the rulers, 
gripped by systemic fear, become hesitant and lose their ability to rule.

Systemic fear often culminates in systemic collapse. The downfall of the 
last Babylonian emperor, Belshazzar, the collapse of Easter Island, the 
French Revolution against the ancien régime, the fall of Soviet Union 
and many more such episodes were all preceded by systemic fear: for 
whatever reason, the rulers lost faith in their dogma and confidence in 
their subjects' obedience. But their systemic fear remained elusive: we 
know of it only anecdotally, subjectively, and always retrospectively -- 
after their mode of power lies in ruins.

Modern finance has made systemic fear transparent. For the first time in 
history, we have an objective, numerical measure of the rulers' 
confidence in obedience -- and this measure is available not in 
retrospect, but here and now. The indicator in question is 
forward-looking capitalization: the financial ritual with which 
capitalists discount to present value their expected future profit. This 
ritual stands at the heart of the modern capitalist dogma, and it is 
currently broken: for the past decade, capitalists have been looking not 
forward to the future, but backward to the past. In other words, 
capitalists no longer trust their own dogma: they are no longer 
confident in the obedience of the ruled or in their own ability to rule.

VIDEO & TEXT: http://bnarchives.yorku.ca/299/

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Jonathan Nitzan
Political Science
York University
4700 Keele St.
Toronto, Ontario, M3J-1P3
Canada
Voice: (416) 736-2100, ext. 88822
Fax: (416) 736-5686
Email: nitzan at yorku.ca
Website:http://bnarchives.net

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