On Wed, Dec 8, 2010 at 2:51 PM, Jim Devine <[email protected]> wrote:
> but Sabri is right that it doesn't matter who sells the bonds to the
> Fed (the government or the private sector). It has the same effect on
> bond prices and interest rates, either way the Fed now pays more
> interest on more bonds to the government (at a lower rate), all else
> constant.


But this is missing the point: yes the Fed remits a bit more to the
Treasury because of its bond purchases, but this is like 1% of $600B
i.e. pocket change in terms of stimulus.

If the Fed simply bought newly issued bonds from the Treasury worth
$600B, then the Treasury could have simply turned around and spent it
i.e. $600B worth of stimulus.

The key issue here is not how much interest rates are impacted by the
purchase, but how much new spending is created - and here it really
does matter whether the Fed is purchasing newly issued bonds or just
already-issued bonds from the market.

It is really quite simple: the Fed's $600B bond purchase does not
translate into $600B of additional spending. I don't why Sabri
disagrees with this.

-raghu.
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