I'm continuing to try to understand how to articulate the difference
between a Ponzi scheme and Social Security.  My basic conclusion is
that a Ponzi scheme has a criminal who steals money, whereas Social
Security does not.  Secondarily, Ponzi schemes are supposed to depend
on a geometrically increasing progression of victims, whereas Social
Security does not.

Typical Ponzi schemes blow up rather quickly, and this short time span
is often said to be the hallmark of a Ponzi scheme.  See, for example,
this: http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/ponzi.htm, where the
author states that the problem with such schemes "is that it is
difficult to sustain this game very long because to continue paying
the promised profits to early investors you need an ever-larger pool
of later investors. The idea behind this type of swindle is that the
con-man collects his money from his second or third round of investors
and then beats it out of town before anyone else comes around to
collect. These schemes typically only last weeks, or months at most."

However, Madoff's scheme went on for decades --- the government thinks
it went on for perhaps 30 years or more --- and by Madoff's admission,
it started in the early 1990s.  How did he achieve this if he was
running a Ponzi scheme?  I realize that the power of a geometrical
progression can certainly alter things, but I haven't found anybody
who has yet commented on this seeming contradiction.  Was Madoff simply
very "conservative" in his desire or ability to add new victims?  Did he
siphon very little from their accounts?


Bill
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