Fred wrote: "Chapter 17 says nothing about technological change causing 
the composition of capital to rise and the rate of profit to fall."
 From the context it appears that Fred thinks such change does cause 
indeed the composition to rise and the rate of profit to fall.

In the course of one cycle, technological change is not crucial for the 
rate of profit to fall. Prosperity prepares for crisis by the very act 
of accumulation, that is, investing profit; it becomes capital that must 
earn profit, too.

In the absence of new technologies that absorb investment, find lots of 
demand, and promise good returns, profit is still turned into capital. 
It might go into low-tech construction, as seems to be happening in 
China; it might go into paper capital like mortgages and chimerical 
paper alluding to mortgages, in which case you might not call the 
process accumulation, but it is still boom and bust.

Regarding secular trends rather than the cycle, technological change has 
not been shown to raise the composition of capital economy-wide, except 
in a few early decades of industrialization.

Charles Andrews

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