Doug Henwood responds:

>> I'd say there are several differences between them. One is that FDR's 
>> unemployment
>> rate started at 25% and Obama's around 8%. Another is that when FDR took 
>> office,
>> thousands of banks had failed; when Obama did, the government had bailed the
>> biggies out. Yet another is the existence of the USSR and a higher level of 
>> political
>> consciousness among the masses, and a genuine fear within the bourgeoisie of
>> failure and/or expropriation. But if you want to get personal about it, 
>> which isn't
>> unimportant, FDR came out of the aristocracy and didn't mind stepping on its 
>> toes; he
>> didn't have to impress them. Obama, however, came from nowhere and was 
>> groomed
>> by the elite at nearly every turn. He's in awe of Wall Street and the 
>> establishment and,
>> unlike Roosevelt who publicly welcomed the hatred of the plutocrats (even 
>> while he
>> was saving their asses), Obama openly craves their love.

I don't disagree.  I would add several points.  First, with respect to the 
USSR, it had only been around for a dozen years in 1933.  We now have 90 years 
of experience with communist rule, as well as 60 years of the post-WWII larger 
government financed by deficits.  We also are collectively much wealthier than 
we were in 1933.  Therefore, if we imagined Obama attempting to replicate the 
New Deal in 2011, he would be facing a much more confident and organized 
opposition because of the historical experience that did not exist in 1933, and 
a wealtier population with significantly different goals and interests.

Second, I think the "New Deal" is a loose term in context.  I was commenting on 
the response of Roosevelt/Obama to the immediate economic/financial crisis.  I 
don't want to get into a big debate about this, but I don't think there is any 
real evidence that Roosevelt's economic programs intended to address the 
immediate crisis, such as the National Recovery Administration, Agricultural 
Adjustment Act, his first year budget,  etc., had any casual link to ending the 
economic/financial crisis.  Roosevelt's lasting legacy, what we think of today 
as the New Deal, were programs such as Social Security, Wagner Act, etc., that 
liberal leftists supported then and support now as ends in themselves, 
regardless of the state of the economy, and which at best ameliorated social 
conditions as opposed to remedying the underlying problems of the economy.

Third, Roosevelt and Obama dealt with significantly different banking crises.  
While there are interesting similarities between Roosevelt inheriting the RFC 
and Obama inheriting TARP, interstate banking was effectively prohibited in 
1933 (in many states banks could not even have branches), so Roosevelt was 
facing a banking crisis of thousands of small banks with concentrated loans and 
no real ability to diversify, while we live in a world of diversified national 
banks.  In this sense, Obama has a much easier job than Roosevelt.

David Shemano



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