Sandwichman to Wall Street: Jump, you leeches!

On Thu, Sep 22, 2011 at 6:53 AM, Louis Proyect <[email protected]> wrote:

> NY Times September 21, 2011
> Wall Street Joins Global Stock Plunge After Fed Move
> By MATTHEW SALTMARSH
>
> Global stock markets tumbled Thursday as investor pessimism about
> the outlook for the United States and European economies was
> deepened by weak data for the euro zone and a grim assessment from
> the Federal Reserve.
>
> “Today, we really seem to be stuck in a negative spiral,” said
> Matthias Jasper, head of equities at WGZ Bank in Düsseldorf.
> “Investors just want to keep their exposure low and watch from the
> sidelines.”
>
> In the opening minutes of Wall Street trading, the Dow Jones
> industrial average was down 301.06, or 2.7 percent, 10.823.78. The
> Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index lost 2.6 percent, and the Nasdaq
> composite was down 2.7 percent.
>
> In afternoon trading Thursday in Europe, the benchmark Euro Stoxx
> 50 index, the FTSE 100 in London and the CAC-40 in Paris were all
> down between 4 and 5 percent.
>
> As well as fears about the economic outlook on both sides of the
> Atlantic, investors have been unnerved by the failure of policy
> makers in the 17-nation euro zone to resolve the region’s debt crisis.
>
> On Wednesday, the Fed said a complete economic recovery was still
> years away, adding that the United States economy has “significant
> downside risks to the economic outlook, including strains in
> global financial markets.”
>
> It also said it would buy long-term Treasury bonds and sell
> short-term bonds to help stimulate lending and growth.
>
> Meanwhile, a closely watched economic report from the euro zone —
> the composite purchasing managers’ index — fell to 49.2 in
> September from 50.7 in August, according to Markit, a financial
> data provider. The reading, released Thursday, was below the
> consensus forecast of 49.8. Both the manufacturing and services
> indexes declined.
>
> “The initial and follow-up reaction from the equity market is
> likely the realization that the Fed has little left to offer, that
> Washington is a mess, and their only hope is to “ride it out” over
> a long period of time,” said Kevin H. Giddis, the executive
> managing director and president for fixed-income capital markets
> at Morgan Keegan & Company.
>
> “This is about to get ugly and there is very little anyone can do
> about it,” he added in a research note.
>
> Stocks had fallen in the United States 2 percent or more on
> Wednesday after the Federal Reserve announcement.
>
> On Thursday, the yield on 10-year United States Treasury
> securities hit a new low of 1.76 percent in London. After the
> markets opened in the United States, the benchmark bond yield was
> 1.77 percent.
>
> Commodities fell. Comex gold futures were down nearly 4 percent at
> about $1,737 just before Wall Street opened, while crude oil
> futures traded in New York were down more than 6 percent at $80.57
> a barrel.
>
> The Fed pointed to a number of long-term problems in the American
> economy, including high unemployment and a depressed housing
> market. In addition Moody’s Investors Service downgraded ratings
> on three big American banks — Bank of America, Wells Fargo and
> Citigroup — saying government support had become less likely in
> the event of financial trouble.
>
> The Fed’s statement “continued to suggest that the Fed funds rate
> will remain on hold until at least mid-2013,” said Rob Carnell, an
> analyst at ING in London. He added that quantitative easing could
> be introduced as early as November.
>
> Analysts said the fall in the euro-area index reflected a
> combination of slowing global growth, significant belt-tightening
> in the euro area and growing concern about the escalating
> sovereign debt crisis.
>
> “Whether or not the economy dips into another recession largely
> depends on whether governments move to contain the crisis,” said
> Nick Kounis, head of research at ABN AMRO in Amsterdam. “These
> surveys suggest that the window of opportunity is closing fast.”
>
> “Clearly the risks of recession are elevated,” he added.
>
> The weak economic backdrop appeared to give added importance to a
> series of meetings in Washington in coming days at the
> International Monetary Fund and World Bank.
>
> Mr. Jasper of WGZ Bank said the gloomy economic backdrop belied
> the fact that many companies in Europe are in fact in a positive
> position in terms of their order books, profit margins and cash
> positions.
>
> “We’re in a politics-driven market, and it’s hard to see light at
> the end of the tunnel until we have a workable solution for Greece
> and stabilization of the situation in Italy and Spain,” he said
>
> In Europe there was still uncertainty about the fiscal outlook for
> Greece and Italy.
>
> Greece announced a new set of austerity measures Wednesday, aiming
> to convince international creditors to release a tranche of €8
> billion in loans needed by mid-October to avoid bankruptcy.
>
> The measures included cuts in civil servants’ wages, lower
> pensions and a broader tax base. But before releasing the
> payments, the creditors will probably want to see the measures
> approved by Parliament and to know more about a new set of
> privatizations, the details of which are still to be spelled out
> by the government. According to local media, a parliamentary vote
> will be held in the next few days.
>
> Speaking to reporters on Thursday, the Finance Minister Evangelos
> Venizelos said the government’s priority was to keep its
> commitments to foreign creditors to avoid a similar experience to
> that of Argentina, which defaulted on its debt in 2001-2.
>
> “The crisis is not what we are living today, namely cuts to wages,
> pensions and income,” he said. “That is our effort to avert the
> crisis. The real crisis will be like that of Argentina’s in 2000 –
> a total collapse of the economy, of institutions, of the social
> fabric and productive forces of the country.”
>
> Noting that situation “is critical,” he stressed the importance of
> “being absolutely consistent in fulfilling our obligations so that
> no arguments or excuses can be used against us.”
>
> In Italy, the government lowered its forecasts for economic growth
> Thursday but stuck to its goal of balancing the budget in 2013,
> amid local media reports that the government is moving toward
> announcing yet another batch of austerity measures.
>
> Economists at Barclays Capital said the government would have to
> find additional savings of 9 billion to 10 billion euros “to
> increase the chances of reaching a budget that is close to
> balanced by 2013.”
>
> Analysts said the declines in Asia on Thursday showed that
> investors were unsure that the Fed’s action would fully address
> the economic slowdown in the United States.
>
> The Hang Seng index in Hong Kong led declines in Asia, diving 4.8
> percent. The Nikkei 225 index in Tokyo closed 2.1 percent lower,
> the Kospi in South Korea fell 2.9 percent and the S.&P./ASX 200 in
> Australia dropped 2.6 percent.
>
> The export-driven economies in Asia, such as South Korea, are most
> vulnerable to the European and American economic challenges, said
> Tim Condon, head of Asia research at ING Group in Hong Kong.
> Durable goods like automobiles and ships will be hurt most, he said.
>
> Additionally, investors were beginning to worry that China’s rate
> of growth may slow, said Dariusz Kowalczyk, senior economist and
> strategist at Crédit Agricole CIB in Hong Kong.
>
> The aversion to riskier assets helped prop up the dollar in
> foreign exchange markets on Thursday. The euro was trading at
> $1.3477, down from $1.3573 late New York trading.
>
> “It really comes down to political immaturity in both the U.S. and
> Europe,” said Stephen Davies, chief executive of Javelin Wealth
> Management in Singapore. “The increasing chance of a U.S.
> recession and European implosion has shortened the odds of an
> overall second recession.”
>
> Christine Hauser, Niki Kitsantonis, Elisabetta Povoledo, Kevin
> Drew, Robert Pear and Jennifer Steinhauer contributed reporting.
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