Sandwichman said...

"At the core of the case AGAINST shorter working time is the claim that it
is not needed because "increased productivity [technology, trade,
immigration, postponing retirement age, etc.] creates more jobs than it
destroys." The classic version of this was the 1701 anti-mercantilist
pamphlet, "Observations upon the East-India Trade." With regard
specifically to technology, the locus classicus is the 1780 pamphlet by
Dorning Rasbotham, "Thoughts on the Use of Machines in the Cotton
Manufacture."

NT:that would be wrong. fortunately that wasn't my argument. my
argument is exactly the opposite. i argued that productivity increases
would be generated by cuts in the work week and those productivity
increases would lead be biased towards labor saving.

SM:But you say that a large spike in productivity from reduced hours and an
increase in wages would mean "that not many more workers would be needed to
produce the same amount of output as before."

Repeat the last seven words of that sentence: "the same amount of output as
before." Does that sound to you at all like "a fixed amount of work to be
done" or "a certain quantity of labor to be performed"? It does to me. That
means you are making a lump-of-labor assumption and the lump of labor is a
fallacy.

NT: you are correct that i made a simplifying assumption.

SM:What makes you think that the demand for output would remain unchanged
after a reduction in hours and an increase in wages? A Keynesian argument
could be made that the increase in wages would redistribute income to
people with a higher propensity to consume thus increasing aggregate
demand.

NT: it's an increase in wages per hour and a simultaneous cut in hours
worked. barring an immense amount of extra overtime i don't see how
this would increase demand for output immensely. my entire argument is
that a large cut in hours worked would increase productivity, so that
not many more workers would be needed to meet the current demand for
output and thus the positive feedback loop would be weak. how would
these increases in wages paid per hour increase aggregate demand if
annual income for these workers is the same?

SM:  It is worth doing anyway. That is, aside from any job-creating
potential, reducing the hours of work from current levels will improve the
quality of life.

NT: I said that exact same thing. In fact I think that the increase in
productivity is an extra reason to do it.
-- 
-Nathan Tankus
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