On 2012-01-09, at 10:29 PM, c b wrote:

> Secretary Of Defense Leon Panetta Says Iran Is NOT Developing Nuclear Weapons
> http://www.addictinginfo.org/2012/01/09/secretary-of-defense-leon-panetta-says-iran-is-not-developing-nuclear-weapons-video
> 
> ...But during an appearance on Face the
> Nation on CBS, Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta stated that Iran is
> NOT building a nuclear weapon….Are they trying to develop a nuclear weapon?
> No. But we know that they’re trying to develop a nuclear capability,
> and that’s what concerns us. And our red line to Iran is, do not
> develop a nuclear weapon. That’s a red line for us.”
> 
> ...I believe Panetta when he says Iran
> isn’t working on a nuclear weapon. He was at the top of the
> intelligence food chain while Director of the CIA and he is now the
> top man in the Pentagon. If anybody is going to know what Iran is
> doing, it’s him. 

Actually, Panetta was forced to back off his earlier statements criticizing the 
possibility of an Israeli attack on Iran, even if Iran was developing nuclear 
weapons. After protests from Israel, Panetta and the administration now warn 
such a development would cross a "red line", although what the US response 
would be is still unclear.

However, the new head of the Israeli Mossad hasn't drawn any such red lines and 
doesn't appear to be especially alarmed even if Iran IS developing a nuclear 
weapon. The Israeli political and military establishment is deeply divided over 
an strike on Iran, with Pardo and previous Israeli intelligence chiefs strongly 
and publicly opposed to the Netanyahu-Barak faction which is reportedly pushing 
for war.

*       *       *

Mossad chief: Nuclear Iran not necessarily existential threat to Israel

Tamir Pardo says Israel using various means to foil Iran's nuclear program, but 
if Iran actually obtained nuclear weapons, it would not mean destruction of 
Israel.

By Barak Ravid
Haaretz
December 29 2011

A nuclear-armed Iran wouldn't necessarily constitute a threat to Israel's 
continued existence, Mossad chief Tamir Pardo reportedly hinted earlier this 
week.

On Tuesday evening, Pardo addressed an audience of about 100 Israeli 
ambassadors. According to three ambassadors present at the briefing, the 
intelligence chief said that Israel was using various means to foil Iran's 
nuclear program and would continue to do so, but if Iran actually obtained 
nuclear weapons, it would not mean the destruction of the State of Israel.

"What is the significance of the term existential threat?" the ambassadors 
quoted Pardo as asking. "Does Iran pose a threat to Israel? Absolutely. But if 
one said a nuclear bomb in Iranian hands was an existential threat, that would 
mean that we would have to close up shop and go home. That's not the situation. 
The term existential threat is used too freely."

The ambassadors said Pardo did not comment on the possibility of an Israeli 
military assault on Iran.

"But what was clearly implied by his remarks is that he doesn't think a nuclear 
Iran is an existential threat to Israel," one of the envoys said.

Pardo's remarks follow lively a public debate in recent months over a possible 
Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear facilities. One of the figures at the center 
of this public debate has been Pardo's predecessor as Mossad chief, Meir Dagan. 
Dagan has argued that Israel should only resort to military force "when the 
knife is at its throat and begins to cut into the flesh." He has also 
criticized Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak, 
accusing them of pushing for an Israeli attack on Iran, and warned that such an 
assault would have disastrous consequences.

For the past several years, Netanyahu has characterized a nuclear Iran as an 
existential threat to Israel. The prime minister has even compared Iranian 
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to Adolf Hitler and argued that Iran should be 
treated as Nazi Germany should have been dealt with in 1938, just before World 
War II. In contrast, Barak said in April 2010 that Iran "was not an existential 
threat at the moment," but warned that it could become one in the future.

In the cabinet, Netanyahu and Barak have been the leading proponents of a 
preemptive strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. So far, however, they have not 
managed to convince a majority of either the "octet" forum of eight senior 
ministers or the diplomatic-security cabinet to support their position.

In related news, The Daily Beast website reported yesterday about one aspect of 
the disagreement between Israel and the United States on the Iranian nuclear 
issue. It said that Washington and Jerusalem are discussing "red lines" for 
Iran's nuclear project that, if crossed, would justify a preemptive strike on 
the nuclear facilities.

The website's defense reporter, Eli Lake, wrote that Israel's ambassador to 
Washington, Michael Oren, lodged an official protest with the American 
administration following a speech a few weeks ago by U.S. Defense Secretary 
Leon Panetta at the Saban Forum, in which the American defense chief warned of 
the consequences of an attack on Iran. The Daily Beast reported that Panetta's 
remarks infuriated the Israel government and that Oren was directed to lodge 
the protest.

A short time later, the White House conveyed a message of reassurance to Israel 
that the Obama administration has its own red lines for attacking Iran, so 
there is no need for Israel to act unilaterally. The Israeli protest was also 
followed by a shift in Panetta's rhetoric: In an interview with the American 
television network CBS, Panetta said the United States would not take any 
option off the table with regard to preventing Iran from obtaining nuclear 
weapons.

The crux of the disagreement between the two countries revolves around the 
question of to what extent Iran has managed to develop clandestine sites for 
uranium enrichment. As a result, Israel and the United States are having a hard 
time settling on common "red lines."

Patrick Clawson of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy told The Daily 
Beast that "if Iran were found to be sneaking out or breaking out [toward 
obtaining nuclear weapons], then the president's advisers are firmly persuaded 
he would authorize the use of military force to stop it." However, he added, 
"when the occasion comes, we just don't know how the president will react."
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