Dean addressed the study cited by AP here.

http://www.cepr.net/index.php/blogs/beat-the-press/yahoo-assigns-arithmetic-challenged-team-to-cover-social-security

Yahoo Assigns Arithmetic Challenged Team to Cover Social Security


Thursday, 09 August 2012 20:15

There have been numerous stories about how workers don't have the
necessary skills for the available jobs. There is little evidence of
this in the data. Wages are not rising rapidly in any major
occupational grouping. If employers could not find workers with the
necessary skills then they should be raising wages to pull away the
limited group of qualified workers from competitors, unless of course
the employers were too incompetent to understand that higher wages are
necessary to attract workers.

Anyhow, Yahoo clearly has trouble attracting staff with the necessary
skills in arithmetic and logic, since it ran a piece on Social
Security which contained major errors in one or both. The piece
recounts the story of Mary Ann Sorrentino, a woman who spent a career
in relatively low-paying jobs, but nonetheless managed to save and
invest successfully and thereby accumulate a substantial amount to
support her retirement.

It then tells readers:

"Now nearly 70, Sorrentino says her mother's admonitions saved her --
especially considering that Social Security, that very American of
safety nets, hasn't quite panned out the way many had hoped. She dubs
them the "reality-challenged," referring to those who have long paid
into the Social Security kitty with a blind belief they'll see their
investments, and perhaps more, kindly returned to them by the federal
government.

That dream has soured, says an Associated Press study this week. The
average American who retires now will receive less Social Security
money than what he contributed over a working life. There are
variables (retirement age and income level are two big ones), but for
many, it's clear: Social Security, she ain't what she used to be."

Just about every assertion in this piece is wrong. In fact, the
statements are sufficiently inaccurate to be libelous. If Yahoo had
mischaracterized a private corporation like Goldman Sachs or Morgan
Stanley the same way, it is likely that it would be facing a serious
lawsuit.

In fact, the study cited by Associated Press (Associated Press did not
do a study) did not indicate that Social Security is paying out less
than planned. The last cut in benefits was put into law 29 years
[ago]. This means that if workers had looked at benefits they had been
promised at any date since those cuts, they would be seeing exactly
the benefits that they expected. The only "reality-challenged" folks
in this story are those at Yahoo who apparently did not know this
fact.

Also, the study showed that most workers would in fact get more than
the standard return on the money they put into Social Security. It is
only the top quarter or so of wage earners who could expect to get
somewhat less than a normal return on the money they invested in
Social Security. (Yahoo's concern for these relatively well off
workers is ironic, since the Bowles-Simpson plan, which is
enthusiastically supported by most of the Washington establishment,
calls for further cuts to these workers' benefits.)

The Yahoo piece also badly misleads readers about the financial
condition of Social Security. It told readers of a small business
owner who doesn't expect to retire until 2039:

"and that Social Security, according to the Congressional Budget
Office, could be bone-dry by 2040."

Actually the Congressional Budget Office does not say that Social
Security could be bone-dry by 2040. Its projections show that it will
only have enough revenue at that point to pay about 80 percent of
scheduled benefits. However, the payable benefit projected for 2040
would still be larger than the average benefit that retirees receive
today.

That would be the case if Congress never took any steps to address the
projected shortfall. The additional funding needed to pay the full
scheduled benefit would be roughly equal to half of the cost of the
war in Iraq at its peak. It is likely that a voting population that
has a substantially higher share of retirees than we do at present
would insist that Congress find the funding to maintain full scheduled
benefits.

Yahoo has been having serious management and financial problems in
recent years. If this article is typical of its reporting it is a
virtual certainty that the company will be out of business long before
Social Security faces any real financial problems.

On Mon, Aug 13, 2012 at 4:51 PM, Gar Lipow <[email protected]> wrote:
> I think that is only the richest 25% who receive less than they put in.
>
>
> 2012/8/13 c b <[email protected]>
>>
>>
>> http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20120806/BIZ01/208060327/Social-Security-payoff-worsens?odyssey=mod|newswell|text|FRONTPAGE|s
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Policy Director
Just Foreign Policy
www.justforeignpolicy.org
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