NY Times November 1, 2012
In a Flood-Troubled City, a Refreshing Argument About Climate Change
By JIM DWYER

In the Roaring ’20s, when Nick Carraway came to life in the pages of 
“The Great Gatsby,” a train ride from West Egg to Manhattan took him 
past a desolate stretch of ground in Queens.

Tucked into a few lines is a clue to long-forgotten chapters in the 
natural history of New York City.

Looking out the window, Carraway describes the scene: “This is a valley 
of ashes — a fantastic farm where ashes grow like wheat into ridges and 
hills and grotesque gardens; where ashes take the forms of houses and 
chimneys and rising smoke and, finally, with a transcendent effort, of 
men who move dimly and already crumbling through the powdery air.”

The valley of ashes evoked by F. Scott Fitzgerald was, in history, the 
Corona Ash Dump, a receptacle for incinerated garbage; not long after 
the novel was published, Robert Moses, the shaper of 20th century New 
York, bought the dump, hauled off millions of tons of garbage, and 
staged the 1939 World’s Fair there. Today, it is Flushing Meadows-Corona 
Park, where the United States Open is played.

But before it was anything shaped by humans, that ground was the kind of 
natural place that, this week showed, we urgently need: salt marsh, a 
living bumper that would protect the lands behind it by absorbing the 
force of surging tides.

About 300,000 acres of tidal wetlands around New York City have been 
filled in by human development in the 19th and 20th centuries. All that 
remains are 15,500 acres, according to a 2009 report prepared by the 
United States Army Corps of Engineers and the Port Authority of New York 
and New Jersey.

Those wetlands, on the margins of the islands and the coastline, act 
like sponges, slowing and baffling tidal forces. The 2009 report 
proposed restoring or creating 18,000 acres.

Over time, these natural sponges were replaced — in New York and in many 
port cities — by hundreds of miles of sea walls, hardened edges. They 
allowed the land closest to the water to be developed, but the hard 
edges are in a losing war with rising sea levels and strong storms. This 
week, the ruins are everywhere: dozens killed, billions in property 
destroyed, transportation shut down, blackouts for millions.

A professor at Queens College, Nicholas Coch, has described the unique 
vulnerability of the metropolitan area to hurricanes. Because New York 
and New Jersey form a kind of right angle, the counterclockwise forces 
of hurricanes are amplified. A Category 3 hurricane hitting New York 
would have the same power as a 4 or 5 farther south along the coast, Dr. 
Coch has warned. Water could reach 28 feet in Howard Beach and Jamaica, 
in Queens, he has said. The surge in this week’s storm was reported to 
have reached 17 feet.

After Hurricane Katrina leveled much of New Orleans, many authorities 
spoke about the folly of building at or below sea level.

“They talk about New Orleans, but the sad truth is that nearly all our 
infrastructure is below sea level,” Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo said this week. 
Thinking out loud, he suggested the construction of huge sea gates. 
Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg said Thursday he didn’t think they were 
realistic.

That they disagreed, and did so in public, is one of the healthiest 
developments in civic life this year.

The consensus of scientists globally is that climate change has taken 
place and has contributed to the rise of sea levels by close to a foot 
over the last century. Some forecasts suggest that in the years ahead, 
the increase will be more than 10 times greater. Yet climate change has 
been close to unmentionable during the presidential campaign. The agenda 
has been set by minority voices, some of them quietly financed by 
industries that might be threatened by measures to curb greenhouse gases.

Somehow, by denying the existence of climate change, they managed to 
shut down debate over what to do about it. That is why a disagreement 
between the governor and the mayor about sea gates is so refreshing. The 
climate change issue led Mr. Bloomberg to endorse President Obama on 
Thursday.

Wherever the debate goes nationally, New York will have to look hard at 
where and how it stands in the natural world. “We haven’t thought about 
redesigning for radically higher sea levels,” said Adrian Benepe, who 
recently left city government after three decades of service, most 
recently as commissioner of parks and recreation. Mr. Benepe, now an 
executive with the Trust for Public Land, said he had been intrigued by 
proposals included in “Rising Currents,” a 2010 exhibition at the Museum 
of Modern Art. “It may be that for the city to exist for the next 
century,” he said, “we’re going to have think in ways that we haven’t 
before.”

E-mail: [email protected];

Twitter: @jimdwyernyt
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