http://louisproyect.wordpress.com/2005/03/22/jared-diamonds-collapse-part-two/

For [Jared] Diamond, the yardstick to measure Mayan and Anasazi failure 
is basically the same as that for Japanese success: the extent of 
deforestation. Referring to the ancient Mayan city Copan, whose ruins 
are in present-day Honduras, he writes:

“By the year A.D. 650, people started to occupy the hill slopes, but 
those hill sites were cultivated only for about a century. The 
percentage of Copan’s total population that was in the hills, rather 
than in the valleys, reached a maximum of 41%, then declined until the 
population again became concentrated in the valley pockets. What caused 
that pullback of population from the hills? Excavation of the 
foundations of buildings in the valley floor showed that they became 
covered with sediment during the 8th century, meaning that the hill 
slopes were getting eroded and probably also leached of nutrients. Those 
acidic infertile hill soils were being carried down into the valley and 
blanketing the more fertile valley soils, where they would have reduced 
agricultural yields. This ancient quick abandonment of hillsides 
coincides with modern Maya experience that fields in the hills have low 
fertility and that their soils become rapidly exhausted.

“The reason for that erosion of the hillsides is clear: the forests that 
formerly covered them and protected their soils were being cut down. 
Dated pollen samples show that the pine forests originally covering the 
upper elevations of the hill slopes were eventually all cleared. 
Calculation suggests that most of those felled pine trees were being 
burned for fuel, while the rest were used for construction or for making 
plaster.”

In other words, deforestation was as big a problem in 7th century 
Honduras as it is in the 21st century when multinational corporations 
are stripping the forests for timber exports to the industrialized 
countries.

(clip)

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http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/revealed-climate-change-led-to-decline-of-maya-civilisation-8298232.html

Revealed: Climate change led to decline of Maya civilisation
Steve Connor
Friday, 9 November 2012

One of the world’s great civilisations was forced into terminal decline 
by successive dry periods culminating in a prolonged drought, according 
to a study that throws fresh light on the mysterious disappearance of 
the Maya in Central America around 1,100AD.

Scholars have long wondered about the circumstances that led to the 
relatively abrupt end of the Maya civilisation which had existed for 
about 2,000 years and grew to support a population of up to 13 million 
people at the height of its “classic” period.

Some of the theories about the collapse of Maya society included civil 
wars or famine brought on by environmental degradation, but the latest 
study suggests that the underlying reason may have been a lack of rain 
resulting from regional climate change.

Scientists who have analysed the chemical makeup of limestone columns or 
stalagmites that formed over 2,000 years on the floor of  Yok Balum Cave 
in southern Belize said the region experienced periods of abundant 
rainfall and then prolonged drought, which correspond to the rise and 
fall of Maya society.

“Unusually high amounts of rainfall favoured an increase in food 
production and an explosion in the population between AD 450 and 660. 
This led to a proliferation of cities like Tikal, Copan and Caracol 
across the Maya lowlands,” said Doulas Kennett, professor of 
anthropology at Pennsylvania State University.

“The new climate data show that this salubrious period was followed by a 
general drying trend lasting four centuries that was punctuated by a 
series of major droughts that triggered a decline in agricultural 
productivity and contributed to societal fragmentation and political 
collapse,” Professor Kennett said.

“The most severe drought, in the record (from AD 1020 to 1100) occurs 
after the widespread collapse of Maya state centres and may be 
associated with widespread population decline in the region. Over the 
centuries, the cities suffered a decline in their populations and Maya 
kings lost their power and influence,” he said.

The study of the stalagmites of Yok Balum Cave, published in the journal 
Science, relied on a radioactive dating technique that is accurate to 
within 17 years, combined with an analysis of oxygen isotopes that gave 
estimates of the rainfall over a period of many centuries.

The classic period of the Maya, which started around 300AD, resulted in 
the building of stone pyramids, the widespread use of written records 
and the charting of the movements of stars and planets. The population 
during this period expanded from around 3 million to 13 million, 
supported by a network of irrigated corn fields.

It is not the first time that climate change has been suggested as a 
possible cause of the Maya demise. In 2003, scientists studying river 
sediments in the Cariaco Basin off the coast of Venezuela suggested that 
a period of prolonged drought may have killed off the Maya.

James Baldini of Durham University, who led the cave monitoring part of 
the latest study, said that after many years of hardship brought on by a 
drier climate, the final nail in the coffin appears to be a drought that 
last the best part of the 11th Century.

“The rise and fall of the Maya is an example of a sophisticated 
civilisation failing to adapt successfully to climate change,” Dr 
Baldinin said.

“Periods of high rainfall increased the productivity of Maya 
agricultural systems and led to a population boom and resource 
overexploitation. The progressively drier climate then led to political 
destabilisation and warfare as resources were depleted,” he said.

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