This may not be news to those of you in the States, but I was stunned by the 
amount a family of four will still need to pay for health insurance under the 
health care plan introduced by the administration last year - more than $15,000 
annually in premiums, deductibles, and co-pays, according to the Kaiser 
Foundation. A 60 year making $40,000 will pay an estimated $8000. 

By contrast, a 60 year old in Ontario making $40,000 is currently required to 
pay a "health premium" of $600 annually. Successive federal and provincial 
governments, as everywhere else, have been nibbling away at Medicare, but the 
cost to Canadians is well below what Americans will pay under the AFCA, even 
when the effect of modestly higher Canadian income taxes is factored in. 
Governments have had to move slowly, because Medicare is the one issue which 
will rouse even the least politically conscious. The Ontario Health Premium was 
controversial when it was introduced in 2004, and only Alberta and British 
Columbia have similar levies. 

*       *       *

Unaffordable Cost Seen for Some Under Affordable Care Act
By Brian Faler 
Bloomberg News
Nov 28, 2012

To Megan Hildebrandt, President Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act means she 
can no longer be denied health insurance because of her lymphatic cancer.

There’s a big catch: Coverage for the 28-year-old artist and many other 
Americans without insurance will come at a potentially unaffordable cost.

Hildebrandt, who relies on hospital charity, will face more than $1,000 in 
annual premiums, by one estimate, and probably more in out-of-pocket expenses 
even with new federal subsidies. She and her husband have a combined income of 
$25,000.

“It’s great that I’m not going to have to pay some hugely impossible amount,” 
said Hildebrandt, who lives in Austin, Texas. “Though now I’m in the 
health-care system and still have to pay money that we can’t really afford.”

The landmark health-care law, which survived the threats of repeal and a 
Supreme Court review, now confronts another hurdle: living up to expectations. 
As the administration spells out the details, many uninsured will be surprised 
at how much they will have to pay. It may involve “very substantial amounts,” 
and “there still will be a significant number of people who can’t afford health 
coverage,” said Ron Pollack, head of Families USA, a consumer group that backs 
the law.

A family of four earning $75,000 will pay $7,125 in annual premiums and as much 
as $8,333 in co-pays and deductibles, according to apreliminary estimate by the 
Kaiser Family Foundation. A single 40-year-old earning $30,000 will pay $2,509 
in premiums and as much as $3,125 in cost sharing. For a 60- year-old making 
$40,000, the amount will be $3,800 in premiums and up to $4,167 in 
out-of-pocket costs, according to Kaiser.

New Rules

Those costs will come even as the government spends about $1.16 trillion over 
the next decade to expand coverage to 30 million uninsured people. The 
administration last week unveiled regulations to implement the ban on 
discriminating against those with preexisting conditions. Insurers would be 
limited to varying premiums by age, family size, geography and tobacco use.

To be sure, the costs will be far less than what many with preexisting 
conditions would pay in the absence of the overhaul. The law is also designed 
to reduce expenses for those who already have insurance because hospitals 
providing charitable care make up those costs by charging others more.

“While we’re only dimly aware of it, we all pay,” said former Congressional 
Budget Office Director Robert Reischauer. “There shouldn’t be free-riders.”

What’s more, there are provisions in the law capping the financial burden the 
requirements will impose on the uninsured. If costs exceed 8 percent of their 
income, they are exempt from the individual mandate to buy insurance. And 
people can choose to pay a penalty instead of buying insurance. The fine would 
be $695, or 2.5 percent of a person’s income, whichever is greater.

Offering Subsidies

The law, enacted in March 2010, requires virtually all Americans to have 
insurance by 2014. It will expand coverage to the uninsured by offering them 
subsidies to buy policies on newly established health-insurance exchanges and 
making it easier for lower-income people to qualify for Medicaid, the federal- 
and state-funded insurance system for the poor.

Consumers’ expenses may climb because of a cost-cutting provision inserted in 
the law that will reduce federal aid to the uninsured if the subsidies exceed a 
certain threshold -- defined as 0.504 percent of the gross domestic product. 
The Congressional Budget Office says it expectsthat will happen.

In 2019, some families could see their premiums climb four times as quickly as 
the help they receive from the government, according to CBO. That means they 
will have to bear a larger share of the burden of purchasing coverage.

‘Major Challenge’

“That will be a major challenge,” said John McDonough, a public-health 
professor at the Harvard School of Public Health. “It makes the affordability 
picture far worse.”

The subsidies will be offered on a sliding scale, with those earning the least 
getting the most help. Those at the bottom of the income ladder, earning less 
than 138 percent of the poverty line -- about $33,000 for a family of four -- 
will get care through Medicaid. They will face minimal costs because the 
program has strict limits on co-pays -- if their states decide to opt in to the 
Medicaid expansion. The Supreme Court ruled in June that the government can’t 
compel states to do so, even as the justices upheld the law.

Those earning up to 400 percent of the poverty line -- about $92,000 for a 
family of four -- will receive tax subsidies to buy private insurance on a 
sliding scale.

‘Legitimate Concern’

Senator Richard Durbin of Illinois, the chamber’s second- ranking Democrat who 
was instrumental in pushing through the law, said there’s “legitimate concern” 
that care will remain unaffordable for some.

Lawmakers sought to “protect the poorest” yet weren’t able to offer as much 
help to others as they would have liked because of budgetary constraints, said 
Durbin. “We did all that we could do,” he said.

“If we find out that it doesn’t reach our goal then we’re going to have to sit 
down and work with it,” he said.

He said Republicans have “no response” to the question of how to expand 
coverage to the uninsured.

A November 2009 analysis by CBO of a draft of the program provides a rough 
indication of how quickly the subsidies will ramp down. It shows the government 
covering 77 percent of the premium costs for single persons earning about 
$20,600, 42 percent for those earning around $32,400 and 13 percent of the 
premium costs for those making about $44,200.

That means many with modest incomes will be responsible for covering the bulk 
of their premium costs. About 5 million people required to buy coverage won’t 
receive any help from the government because they earn too much, CBO projects.

Managing Expectations

“There may not be sufficient management of expectations,” said Lynn Quincy, a 
health-policy analyst at Consumers Union, a Yonkers, New York-based advocacy 
group. Lawmakers should have been telling the public the law promises 
“lower-cost” -- not “affordable” -- coverage, she said. “Everybody interprets 
‘affordable’ differently -- it’s in the eye of the beholder.”

The Obama administration defended the law.

“Independent, nonpartisan experts have said the health- care law will help 
cover 30 million people who don’t have insurance today,” White House spokesman 
Nick Papas said in a statement. “The law takes substantial steps to control 
costs and will save money for millions of Americans.”

Still, the federal subsidies face another danger. While Republicans have given 
up trying to rescind the law, they’re targeting it in budget negotiations over 
the so-called fiscal cliff, the combination of automatic spending cuts and tax 
increases scheduled to begin taking effect in January.

Easy Target

Cutting the overhaul’s cost could yield savings that most people wouldn’t 
notice because the overhaul doesn’t begin in earnest until 2014. Yet it would 
force the uninsured to shoulder an even greater share of health-care costs.

Republicans are willing to consider tax increases in the form of closing 
individual breaks, yet House Speaker John Boehner signaled they aren’t yielding 
on cuts to so-called Obamacare.

“The tactics of our repeal efforts will have to change,” Boehner wrote last 
week in the Cincinnati Enquirer. “The law has to stay on the table as both 
parties discuss ways to solve our nation’s massive debt challenge” because “we 
can’t afford to leave it intact.”
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