Sure, Marx made it clear that the classical economists had no adequate answer as to why/their/ most important 'law' was present, but he himself was quite clear that the rate of profit tended to fall because of uneven rates of productivity change. Here's an excerpt from my essay, 'the general and the specific in Marx's theory of crisis', Ch. 8 of my collection, /Following Marx/ (2009):
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It is important to understand that the problem in the FROP-scenario is not at all that Marx failed to recognise the importance of an assumption about productivity in the production of means of production. Indeed, he was far more aware of this critical point than many subsequent disciples. Writing in the /Grundrisse/ (where the basic elements of his FROP argument were first developed), Marx argued that the composition of capital would remain the same if 'productivity increases at the same time not only in the given branch of production, but also in its conditions.' On the other hand, a rise in the constant component of capital emerges 'if the objective conditions of production. . . remain unchanged in value'.[1] <#_ftn1> In short, Marx's very argument for the growth in the composition of capital explicitly rested upon the uneven development of productivity:

If the force of production increased simultaneously in the production of the different conditions of production, raw material, means of production and means of subsistence, and in the [ of production] determined [ them], then their growth would bring about no change in the relation between the different component parts of the capital.[2] <#_ftn2>

He returned to this same question several years later in his /Economic Manuscripts of 1861-63./ There, he did extended calculations for the rate of profit, demonstrating the effect of increases in productivity in the sector producing means of production. Productivity increases in cotton weaving involve increases in raw materials per worker; assuming productivity in the production of yarn constant, there is an increase in the value composition of capital (C/V), and if the rate of surplus value remains unchanged, the effect is that the rate of profit falls: 'In I b), where the productivity of weaving increases threefold and wages remain the same, but the yarn, etc., retains its old price, we have a fall in the rate of profit. In this case the rate of profit falls from 50% to 25%'.[3] <#_ftn3> Further, Marx indicated that, where the rate of surplus value rose as the result of productivity increases, the rate of profit also fell (but in this case only to 36%): 'We have equally a fall in the /rate of profit/ under III, where wages fall in the same proportion as the productivity of labour [rises]. But raw materials, etc., remain the same here as before the threefold increase in the productivity of labour, as under I a).'

In contrast, in the two cases where Marx considered equal productivity increases in the production of the input (yarn) to those occurring in weaving, there was /no/ fall in the profit rate. Where the rate of surplus value was constant, the rate of profit remained the same, whereas in the case where necessary labour falls 'in the same proportion as the productivity of labour grows', the rate of profit rises to 80%.[4] <#_ftn4> In short, the /only/ case that corresponds to the FROP story introduced in Chapter 13 of Volume III of /Capital/ is where productivity in the sector producing material inputs is assumed constant. Marx concluded in his 1861-63 Manuscript that it would appear 'that the rate of profit cannot /fall/ unless' (1) the value of labour-power rises ('Ricardo's assertion') or (2) 'there is a rise in the /value of constant capital in relation to variable/. And the latter would appear to be restricted to cases where the productive power of labour does not rise /equally/ and /simultaneously/ in all the branches of production which contribute to produce the commodity'.[5] <#_ftn5>

Again, the same point about uniform productivity changes is made in the very exposition of FROP in Chapter 13 of /Capital/ III. Marx clearly indicated there that the rate of profit would tend to fall despite a higher rate of surplus value 'outside of a few cases (for instance, /if the productiveness of labour uniformly cheapens all elements of the constant, and the variable, capital/)'.[6] <#_ftn6> Of course, the probability of achieving equal and simultaneous increases in productivity for all sectors approaches zero, and among the many contingencies we can imagine (which Marx did not explore above) is a threefold increase in productivity in the sector producing means of production but none in the using sectors. But Marx's specification of this condition in which the rate of profit would not fall was deliberate: not only did he repeatedly acknowledge the importance for FROP of lagging productivity in Department I but he also offered an unequivocal explanation as to why a uniform increase in productivity would be limited to 'isolated cases'.


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[1] <#_ftnref1>Marx, 1973: 773, 771.

[2] <#_ftnref2>Marx, 1973: 770.

[3] <#_ftnref3>Marx, 1994:29.

[4] <#_ftnref4>Marx, 1994: 26-29.

[5] <#_ftnref5>Marx, 1994: 33-4.

[6] <#_ftnref6>Marx, 1959: 222. Emphasis added.


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---------------------
Michael A. Lebowitz
Professor Emeritus
Economics Department
Simon Fraser University
8888 University Drive
Burnaby, B.C., Canada V5A 1S6
Home:   Phone 604-689-9510
Cell: 778-230-6137


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