On 2013-06-01, at 3:51 PM, Jim Devine posted:

> New York TIMES / June 1, 2013 / Opinion
> 
> China’s Economic Empire
> 
> [subtitle in the e-mail from the NY TIMES: "The biggest threat from
> Beijing is the aggressive spread of state capitalism. "]
> 
> By HERIBERTO ARAÚJO and JUAN PABLO CARDENAL
> 
> HONG KONG — THE combination of a strong, rising China and economic
> stagnation in Europe and America is making the West increasingly
> uncomfortable. While China is not taking over the world militarily, it
> seems to be steadily taking it over commercially. In just the past
> week, Chinese companies and investors have sought to buy two iconic
> Western companies, Smithfield Foods, the American pork producer, and
> Club Med, the French resort company.
> 
> Europeans and Americans tend to fret over Beijing’s assertiveness in
> the South China Sea, its territorial disputes with Japan, and
> cyberattacks on Western firms, but all of this is much less important
> than a phenomenon that is less visible but more disturbing: the
> aggressive worldwide push of Chinese state capitalism.
> 
> By buying companies, exploiting natural resources, building
> infrastructure and giving loans all over the world, China is pursuing
> a soft but unstoppable form of economic domination. Beijing’s
> essentially unlimited financial resources allow the country to be a
> game-changing force in both the developed and developing world, one
> that threatens to obliterate the competitive edge of Western firms,
> kill jobs in Europe and America and blunt criticism of human rights
> abuses in China...

============================================

Judging by the consistent tenor of its coverage, the house organ of the 
American economic establishment tends to see Chinese FDI in the US as more of 
an opportunity than a threat, though it is of course alert to the contradictory 
nature of relations between capitalist firms and between capitalist states. 
Below is the WSJ's take on the Chinese bid for Smithfield, in which the main 
concern is whether the US can leverage the deal to further pry open the Chinese 
market for its own multinationals.  

How About a Smithfield Quid Pro Quo?
BY JOHN BUSSEY
Wall Street Journal
May 29 2013

There are a lot of good things to say about the proposed purchase of 
Virginia-based Smithfield Foods by China's Shuanghui International. Then 
there's the matter of the elephant in the room.

First, the positive: The deal—China's largest ever in America—would sustain 
jobs in the U.S. and likely increase exports. Smithfield is the world's biggest 
hog farmer and pork processor. Pork has top billing on Chinese dinner tables. 
The deal, if it's completed, would boost engagement between two powers that 
don't always see eye to eye. And like other Chinese stakes in the U.S., it 
would make China more vested in the well being of the American economy.

For China, the acquisition would provide technology and know-how in an industry 
it deems essential. Tainted milk, cadmium in the rice crop, dead pigs floating 
in Shanghai's river—this is a nation still learning to produce food at scale. 
Food security and safety are a big part of Beijing's latest Five-Year Plan. 
China's leaders know there's no faster route to social upheaval than failing at 
either.

So, this is good for both parties, right? Maybe not quite.

"People rush to tout the benefits of these deals, but no one touts the need to 
use them as leverage," says a U.S. trade expert. "We have all these companies 
complaining about not getting market access in China. So how can we use this as 
leverage to gain more?"

Should the U.S., in other words, exact reciprocity from China for the 
Smithfield deal?

So far, China's investment in the U.S. totals about $26 billion, and it's 
rising quickly. America's in China is roughly $70 billion. U.S. companies add a 
quick footnote: They'd have invested a lot more if China had let them.

A report this year by the American Chamber of Commerce in China shows how this 
is playing out in the food and agriculture sector.

Annual exports of U.S. agriculture products to China are up sharply—jumping 
111% to $23.4 billion between 2009 and 2012. They account for about 25% of 
total U.S. exports to China.

But that's a fraction of what they could be, argues the Chamber. "Restrictions 
on foreign investment in agriculture, market restrictions not based on sound 
science, and nontransparent, discriminatory trade policies" get in the way, the 
Chamber's report says, echoing complaints from U.S. companies in other 
industries.

In December 2011, Beijing published its updated Guiding Catalogue on Foreign 
Investment in Industry. It stipulated new restrictions on an array of 
industries including agribusiness—activities, the Chamber notes, such as "seed 
production, grain origination and storage, oilseeds processing and corn 
processing. Grain logistics was added to the restricted list. Restrictions on 
corn processing were expanded...." The list goes on.

A 1997 rule still prohibits foreign firms from setting up foreign-invested seed 
distribution and retailing firms in China. The new catalog for the first time 
says they can't engage in biotech R&D. There are large duties on U.S. poultry 
exports to China. U.S. beef is banned. China has delisted U.S. pork plants from 
exporting to China because the meat contained ractopamine, a feed ingredient 
approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration and other health agencies.

For its part, China complains about U.S. restrictions on imports of Chinese 
meat, fish and produce. And China clearly does allow some U.S. investment in 
its agriculture sector. Cargill just opened a $250 million poultry-production 
operation in Anhui province. "It's vertically integrated, from farm to fork," 
says Mike Martin of Cargill.

Derek Scissors of the Heritage Foundation says the U.S. should challenge China 
when President Barack Obama meets Chinese President Xi Jinping in California 
next month.

"We should tell them, 'You have a lot of problems with your food supply. We're 
helping you with this [Smithfield] technology. We'll deal with this being a 
sensitive sector in the U.S. So what's a sensitive area you'd like to give us 
access to in China? Is it banking? Oil?'"

The message: Reciprocity has its virtues.

*       *       *

Farm Trade Could Sway Views Over China Deal
By IAN BERRY, KELSEY GEE and DAVID KESMODEL
Wall Street Journal
May 30 2013

Smithfield Foods Inc.'s planned acquisition by Shuanghui International Holdings 
Ltd. reflects a booming U.S.-China trade in agricultural goods that has largely 
benefited American farmers—a factor that could help smooth the way for what 
would be the biggest Chinese acquisition in the U.S.

The $4.7 billion deal, announced Wednesday, would unite the U.S.'s biggest pork 
producer with a major meat company in China, the world's biggest pork market. 
Analysts predicted it could be seen by other U.S. agribusinesses more as a 
model than a threat, showing the need for other meat companies to focus more on 
a growing overseas customer base for themselves and big meat-buying clients 
like McDonald's Corp.

Pork companies' customers "are global, multinational companies like 
McDonald's," said Altin Kalo, an analyst with Steiner Consulting Group, an 
industry consulting firm in Manchester, N.H. "To serve those accounts, they 
need to have more heft."

Smithfield's biggest union threw its weight behind the deal, which executives 
from Smithfield and Shuanghui said won't result in any U.S. layoffs or major 
management changes.

"The Chinese market for fresh pork is a rapidly exploding market and this 
purchase reflects that country's economic need for high-quality, U.S.-made 
pork," said Joseph T. Hansen, president of the United Food and Commercial 
Workers International Union, which says it represents some 16,000 Smithfield 
Foods workers in 14 states.The union "is pleased that workers in our 
communities can benefit from the growth and expansion of the U.S. pork 
industry," Mr. Hansen said in a statement, adding that the union has strong 
relationships both with Smithfield management and a number of foreign-owned 
food companies.

Shuanghui's deal could still be undone by a better offer for Smithfield from a 
rival company, or by regulatory scrutiny. "There's no precedent" for such a 
takeover of a major U.S. food company by a Chinese firm, said Akshay Jagdale, 
an analyst with KeyBanc Capital Markets, noting that trading in Smithfield 
stock suggested some skepticism the deal would go through.

Smithfield shares rose 28% Wednesday to $33.35, below the Chinese firm's offer 
of $34 a share.

Many analysts, however, said they think the importance of China's market for 
the U.S. meat industry is likely to offset any concerns about Chinese ownership 
of such a key U.S. producer.

Rising incomes in China have propelled sharp growth in consumption of meats and 
other farm goods. The world's most populous country is the biggest buyer of 
U.S. soybeans, and an increasingly important market for corn. China last year 
imported 431,145 metric tons of U.S. pork, 2.5 times the amount just five years 
earlier, according to the U.S. Meat Export Federation. That was still a small 
share of China's total consumption of 52.7 million metric tons of pork in 2012.

"It's a big opportunity," said Steve Meyer, a meat-industry economist with 
Paragon Economics Inc. in Des Moines, Iowa. China lacks the capacity to meet 
growing pork demand domestically, he said. "They just can't do it. There's not 
enough arable land to produce enough feed."

U.S. pork consumption, meanwhile, fell nearly 6% to 8.4 million metric tons in 
the five years through 2012, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture data.

"They just can't get the American consumer to eat more pork," said Michael 
Swanson, agricultural economist with Wells Fargo & Co.

Mr. Swanson said the Shuanghui deal is likely to prompt Smithfield competitors 
like Tyson Foods Inc. to look at deals of their own to expand their footprints 
globally, and especially in China. "Everybody's afraid that [Smithfield] has 
discovered some magic sauce, and that they are going to be left in the dust," 
he said.

A spokesman for Tyson Foods declined to comment.

China's food industry has experienced a series of scandals involving tainted 
meat and other goods. Some consumer advocates pointed to those concerns as 
reasons to worry about the deal. "Overseas ownership can only complicate and 
shield potential future food safety problems from U.S. oversight," said Wenonah 
Hauter, executive director of Food & Water Watch, a Washington, D.C.-based 
group.

Executives from Shuanghui and Smithfield tried to head off such arguments in a 
conference call Wednesday morning, emphasizing that they don't intend to sell 
any Chinese-made pork in the U.S. "Together the combined company will be the 
leading vertically integrated global pork enterprise with greater access to the 
large and growing Chinese market and retain Smithfield's world-leading 
food-safety and quality-control standards," said Smithfield Chief Executive 
Larry Pope.


> 
> 

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