Often forgotten is that Robert Fogel and Stanley Engerman's TIME ON
THE CROSS was supposed to be a Manifesto for a new -- and better! --
kind of economic history, i.e., "cliometrics." It was supposed to
revolutionize the study of economic history by applying the "rigorous"
techniques of econometrics and neoclassical economic theory to develop
new insights that had been ignored or covered up by the
qualitatively-focused "old" economic history that was being clung to
by out-of-date fogies. Fogel had "proven" that railroads weren't
essential to U.S. economic development so they could prove that the
old view of slavery was misled.  The Chicago school of economics
triumphant!

But when TIME ON THE CROSS came out, it was very clear to the folks
who had studied the subject of slavery in the antebellum U.S. South
that it was a shoddy piece of work, sloppy and inaccurate. At best, it
was a Manifesto for Mediocrity.  (See, for example, _Reckoning with
Slavery: Critical Essays in the Quantitative History of American Negro
Slavery_  (by Paul A. David, Herbert G. Gutman, Richard Sutch, Peter
Temin, and Gavin Wright, with an introduction by Kenneth M. Stampp,
Oxford University Press).) By the way, most of the economic prosperity
that Fogel and Engerman saw in the U.S. slave system was an artifact
of temporarily high cotton prices.

It's a shame that Fogel got Alexander Gerschenkron's prestigious
"chair" in economic history at Harvard. Gerschenkron wasn't especially
original, but he was a much better economic historian than Fogel. The
latter's appointment likely reflected Harvard's conservatism.
-- 
Jim Devine /  "Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your
own way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.
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