Shane Mage wrote:
> It's not betting--it's fixing the game.  The problem is a mass uprising.
> US's solution, its absolute requirement, is a military regime in Egypt.
> Mubarak/Tantawi was a military regime. Morsi/Sisi was a military regime.
> Bublowi/Sisi is a military regime. As will be the next "democratically
> elected" government. The point is to change just enough that nothing will
> change--all paid for through its Gulf clients.

_Some_ change is o.k. as far as the U.S. elite is concerned. The
problem for them is change that threatens the aspects of the _status
quo_ that they like. Teaching more young girls how to read wouldn't
threaten the U.S. elite, unless it wakes the Salafis up even more and
causes a bigger anti-liberal revolution. Since the latter is a
possibility, the default position of the elite is likely to have no
change at all. But if there are significant social and political
forces pushing for change, the elite will bend a bit, while trying to
limit and co-opt those forces.

You're right that the backbone of the Egyptian political situation is
the military and that the US does everything it can to preserve a
"military-managed democracy." (As I've noted, most militaries these
days don't want to govern directly, since they don't want the blame.)
-- 
Jim Devine /  "Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it,
doesn't go away." -- Philip K. Dick
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