(Apparently Thomas Griesa was in over his head.)

NY Times, July 25 2014
The Muddled Case of Argentine Bonds
by Floyd Norris

Only now is he learning how complicated life can be for a judge seeking 
to control actions by a sovereign government and issuing orders that are 
supposed to be binding on those who would ordinarily never be within the 
jurisdiction of an American court.

“We are in the soup,” he said at one point on Tuesday during the latest 
hearing in a case that has shaken the world of sovereign debt restructuring.

He was referring to the prospect of a new Argentine default on its 
sovereign bonds, something that seems almost certain to happen on 
Wednesday. But he could have been referring to the process he unleashed 
with rulings that were meant to accomplish one thing — force Argentina 
to live up to what he repeatedly called its “obligations” — but failed 
to take into account just how complex the situation is. This week’s 
hearing made clear that he had not completely understood the bond 
transactions that he had been ruling on for years.

Argentina defaulted on its debt in 2001 and took an imperial attitude 
toward aggrieved creditors. In 2005, it offered a take-it-or-leave-it 
exchange of new bonds for the old ones, with investors required to 
accept large losses. Then in 2010 it told investors who had held out 
that they would have one more chance to take the exchange bonds. Most 
did, but some, largely hedge funds, did not and demanded full repayment. 
Argentina vowed that those investors who refused would never receive a dime.

Then came Judge Griesa, who was chief judge of the United States 
District Court for the Southern District of New York until 2000, when he 
became a senior judge.

Other judges had ruled that Argentina owed the money, but those rulings 
were, in practice, unenforceable against a sovereign state. Judge Griesa 
came up with a legal interpretation to put teeth in the rulings. He held 
that Argentina must pay the old bonds in full at the same time it made 
the next semiannual interest payment to holders of the new bonds. And if 
it did not do so, any bank that helped Argentina pay interest on the new 
bonds would be violating the order.

That ruling was upheld by the United States Court of Appeals for the 
Second Circuit, and in June the Supreme Court refused to hear 
Argentina’s final appeal.

In Argentina’s debt restructuring, holders of the old bonds who accepted 
the country’s offer received a variety of new bonds depending to some 
extent on which old bonds they held and to some extent on which new 
bonds they chose. Some of the exchange bonds were denominated in United 
States dollars, some in Argentine pesos, some in euros and some in 
Japanese yen. Some of them were subject to New York law, others to 
Argentine, English or Japanese law.

And that is where the complexities arose that Judge Griesa seems not to 
have understood.

The order he issued earlier this year said that — assuming Argentina 
does not make good on the old bonds — it should not make interest 
payments on the exchange bonds, and banks should not help it do so. That 
sounded as if it covered all the exchange bonds, even those not issued 
under New York law.

But the opinion explaining the order discussed only the dollar bonds 
issued under New York law. It ignored the existence of other exchange bonds.

So did the ruling apply to those other exchange bonds, including those 
issued under Argentine law? Would a bank that processed interest 
payments on those bonds be in trouble with the judge?

Citibank’s Argentine branch, which is the trustee for bonds issued under 
Argentine law, some denominated in pesos and some in dollars, asked the 
judge for a clarification, and on June 27 he provided one. Citibank 
could process interest payments on those bonds. They were not covered by 
his order.

This week’s hearing was largely about changing that ruling, and the 
judge initially made it clear that he saw no reason for a change. He saw 
the bonds as domestic ones, owned by Argentine citizens. “From a 
practical, common-sense standpoint,” he asked a lawyer for the hedge 
funds who was trying to have the order modified, “why do they have to 
get dragged into this?”

It turned out that he did not know much about those Argentine-law bonds. 
He said his June order provided “a rather minute exception” to his 
original ruling, and told the hedge funds’ lawyer, Edward A. Friedman of 
Friedman Kaplan Seiler & Adelman, “It is my understanding that the bonds 
being talked about in your motion are not part of the exchange.”

Told that the bonds in question were exchange bonds, and that they 
accounted for nearly a quarter of all the exchange bonds, he said he had 
not realized that and reversed course.

“Sitting here right now,” he said, “it strikes me that, being exchange 
bonds, they should be treated as exchange bonds and that they should be 
included with the other exchange bonds in the Feb. 23 order.”

It was not bad theater, but it hardly inspired confidence in the 
American legal system.

“These questions are essential to the operation of this injunction,” 
Anna Gelpern, a law professor at Georgetown University who has followed 
the case for years, said after reading the transcript of Tuesday’s 
hearing. “Up to half the debt could be in or out depending on how these 
questions are resolved. The fact we are confronting them, days before a 
payment default, is scary.”

It is not as if no one had pointed out the issues in the many legal 
briefs and arguments filed in this case, both before Judge Griesa and 
before appeals courts. But those arguments seem not to have registered. 
“For this to come out after this has gone through so much legal process, 
in the most sophisticated financial jurisdiction in America,” Ms. 
Gelpern said, “has to be astounding.”

On Tuesday, Judge Griesa eventually decided he would think it over and 
rule at a later date. At some point he will also have to deal with the 
status of bonds issued under English or Japanese law.

If he ends up ruling that the Argentine-law bonds are covered by his 
original ruling, and tells Citibank not to process the interest payment, 
then Citibank could have to decide whether to defy him or ignore the law 
in Argentina, where it could face prosecution.

If he rules the other way, Argentina may try to find a way to do a new 
exchange, with Argentine-law bonds given to any investors who want to 
give up their bonds issued under United States law. The judge would 
probably try to block such an exchange.

A grace period gives Argentina until Wednesday to pay the interest it 
owes on the exchange bonds. It has paid the money to the bank trustees, 
including Bank of New York Mellon for the New York-law bonds. That bank 
has done nothing with the money because it is clearly bound by the 
judge’s order.

Argentina says that payment means it will not default, because it will 
not be the country’s fault if the exchange bond holders are not paid. 
The judge says Argentina acted illegally in making the payment, but he 
has not decided what the Bank of New York Mellon should do now. The 
hedge funds want the judge to order the bank to return the money to 
Argentina. The bank, fearing suits from bondholders, wants to keep the 
money until all this is sorted out. The judge is also pondering that issue.

As Wednesday approaches, the judge has a lot to think about. It would be 
better if he had done some of that thinking before he issued his order, 
or if the appeals court or the Supreme Court had forced him to do so.
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