This Juan Cole piece is a confused mush.

Gene

On Nov 29, 2014, at 6:28 AM, Louis Proyect <[email protected]> wrote:

> So how does this all relate to peak oil? It seems to me that if shale 
> oil can't turn a profit, it will increase the demand on conventionally 
> drilled oil and hence accelerate its exhaustion. I think the idea that 
> oil is about to disappear any time soon is simplistic but the tendency 
> for desperate violence over control of diminishing resources does 
> confirm in its way the peak oil hypothesis. In any event, I think that 
> "peak oil" is a much more serious problem. On Thanksgiving day, we had a 
> friend of my wife from Istanbul and her husband over for dinner (we ate 
> hindi, as the Turks call the bird.) Her dissertation was on competition 
> for water in the Middle East, the Euphrates specifically. Her comment: 
> declining water supplies in the region have more to do with the wars 
> than Shi'a/Sunni conflicts.
> 
> ----
> 
> 
> It is clear that among the major losers in the fall in the price of 
> Brent crude petroleum from $115 a barrel last summer to about $75 a 
> barrel today are Russia, Iraq and Iran. Petroleum sales are 50% of 
> Russia’s income, and are also central for Iran and Iraq.
> But the big loser will likely be shale oil producers and prospectors in 
> the US, who probably cannot make a profit if the price falls into the 60s.
> 
> http://www.juancole.com/2014/11/targets-shale-russia.html
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