It's hard to measure, isn't it?

Nonetheless, in normal life, we count such things, even if we can't measure
them precisely.

I quit smoking cigarettes for health reasons, even though I really enjoyed
smoking cigarettes, even though the health benefit of quitting smoking is
largely statistical - I'm avoiding a much higher risk of lung cancer in the
future, etc. But I don't know for sure that I would have gotten lung cancer
if I didn't quit smoking, and I don't know for sure that I won't get lung
cancer now, and the benefit depends significantly on events beyond my
control - I could get hit by a bus tomorrow, and my sacrifice would be
wasted. Was it a mistake for me to quit smoking? Should I not have done so?
If it's worthwhile to quit smoking to avoid a much greater risk of lung
cancer, is it not worthwhile to vigorously support diplomacy to avoid a
greater risk of more war?

Back International Talks to End Syrian Civil War
http://petitions.moveon.org/sign/back-international-talks?source=c.em&r_by=1135580



Robert Naiman
Policy Director
Just Foreign Policy
www.justforeignpolicy.org
[email protected]
(202) 448-2898 x1

On Wed, Sep 23, 2015 at 11:26 AM, Carrol Cox <[email protected]> wrote:

> Robert N writes: "What if, in the next four years, we can't stop all wars,
> but we could stop some wars. Would that be worth caring about?"
>
> If a war doesn't happen, how do you know that it was going to happen? How
> does one  judge the importance of non-events?
>
> Carrol
>
>
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