On Sun, Feb 14, 2016 at 5:17 PM, Louis Proyect <[email protected]> wrote:

> After skimming through it, I am beginning to wonder if Sanders is
> fighting with one hand behind his back. Hillary Clinton has figured out
> that by wrapping herself in Obama’s banner she can line up Black votes.
> In the PBS debate,  she kept demanding that he kneel before the
> President under whom Black poverty has increased geometrically and who
> has made zero impact on curtailing the cops shoot Black people with
> impunity.
>


This seems like a bit of a gamble on both sides: it is true that Obama is
hugely popular among Black people in the US (for complicated reasons that
really have not been sufficiently well-studied..), and remains so even
though it is widely recognized that he has done very little to directly
improve the economic and social condition of black people.

BUT - will Obama's popularity transfer to Hillary by proclamation? I think
that remains to be seen. Likewise, are the limited and restrained
criticisms that Sanders has offered of Obama really going to hurt him among
Black voters? Maybe, but it does not seem all that clear cut to me at all.

I think Sanders chances of getting the Black vote has more to do with
whether he can convincingly present himself as a credible and legitimate
candidate who can really win. A bit of a chicken and egg question..

I agree with looking at these elections like a sport. A very interesting
sequence of games are coming up..
-raghu.
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