http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-fight_us_56c74dade4b0ec6725e25f49

The Fight Between Bernie Sanders And Hillary Clinton Is Officially Super
Ugly
Even elite economists are throwing punches.
 02/19/2016 01:12 pm ET | Updated 3 hours ago
Zach Carter
Senior Political Economy Reporter, The Huffington Post

WASHINGTON -- A former executive director of the congressional Joint
Economic Committee on Thursday accused columnist Paul Krugman and four
prominent Democratic economists of dishonestly smearing an academic in
order to score political points for Hillary Clinton.

The dispute, which is ostensibly over the ultimate cost of Bernie Sanders'
economic agenda, is more than a simple war among wonks. It demonstrates
that elite economists -- not merely paid campaign operatives -- are fueling
the ugly escalation of hostilities between major factions of the Democratic
Party as the presidential primary continues.

To explain the costs and benefits of his Medicare-for-all health care plan,
$15-an-hour minimum wage, gender pay equity, increased infrastructure
spending and other programs, the Sanders campaign has touted an analysis
<http://www.dollarsandsense.org/What-would-Sanders-do-013016.pdf> performed
by University of Massachusetts Amherst economist Gerald Friedman.

Earlier this week, four economists -- Alan Krueger, Christina Romer, Austan
Goolsbee and Laura D’Andrea Tyson -- wrote an open letter
<https://lettertosanders.wordpress.com/2016/02/17/open-letter-to-senator-sanders-and-professor-gerald-friedman-from-past-cea-chairs/>
accusing
Friedman of making "extreme claims" in that study that "undermine the
credibility of the progressive economic agenda." Krugman then published
<http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/02/17/worried-wonks/> multiple
<http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/02/17/what-has-the-wonks-worried/?module=BlogPost-Title&version=Blog%20Main&contentCollection=Opinion&action=Click&pgtype=Blogs&region=Body>
 blog posts
<http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/02/18/wonkery-has-a-well-known-liberal-bias/?module=BlogPost-Title&version=Blog%20Main&contentCollection=Opinion&action=Click&pgtype=Blogs&region=Body>
citing
the letter as evidence that the Sanders campaign was engaging in "fantasy"
and "voodoo."

The problem with these condemnations, according to former JEC Executive
Director James Galbraith, is that none of the economists involved in the
fracas actually crunched any numbers to show why Friedman's study was
supposedly such a sham. Galbraith now teaches economics at the University
of Texas at Austin.

"You write that you have applied rigor to your analyses of economic
proposals by Democrats and Republicans," Galbraith wrote in a letter to
Krueger, Romer, Goolsbee and Tyson. "On reading this sentence I looked to
the bottom of the page, to find a reference or link to your rigorous review
of Professor Friedman's study. I found nothing there."

Friedman, who is a political supporter of Hillary Clinton
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/02/18/the-economist-who-validated-bernie-sanders-big-liberal-plans-is-voting-for-hillary-clinton/>,
had projected a 5.3 percent economic growth rate under Sanders' platform.
That rate is high relative to the current figure of about 2.4 percent, but
Galbraith said it is clear from the paper that Friedman reached the figure
by relying on "standard impact assumptions and forecasting methods."

Economic growth did in fact reach that level in 1983, 1984 and 1985,
Galbraith noted, as the economy bounced back from recession and responded
to the 1981 Reagan tax cuts.

"What the Friedman paper shows, is that under conventional assumptions, the
projected impact of Senator Sanders' proposals stems from their scale and
ambition," Galbraith wrote. "When you dare to do big things, big results
should be expected. The Sanders program is big, and when you run it through
a standard model, you get a big result."

"It is not fair or honest to claim that Professor Friedman's methods are
extreme," Galbraith added. "Nor is it fair or honest to imply that you have
given Professor Friedman's paper a rigorous review. You have not."

The four economists who wrote the original letter have all been chairs of
the Council of Economic Advisers under either President Barack Obama or
President Bill Clinton. Galbraith suggests that the real sham in the wonk
scuffle is not Friedman's work, but the willingness of prestigious
economists to rely on their mere authority to demean the work of others
without actually analyzing it.

"What you have done, is to light a fire under Paul Krugman, who is now
using his high perch to airily dismiss the Friedman paper as 'nonsense.'
Paul is an immensely powerful figure, and many people rely on him for
careful assessments. It seems clear that he has made no such assessment in
this case. Instead, Paul relies on you to impugn an economist with far less
reach, whose work is far more careful, in point of fact, than your casual
dismissal of it."

Krugman has aggressively defended Clinton in the wonk trenches all year. In
January, he wrote a post
<http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/01/19/weakened-at-bernies/?_r=0>
belittling
Sanders' call to break up the banks by claiming "too big to fail was at
best marginal" to the 2008 financial crisis.

The statement ran against the official conclusion of the Financial Crisis
Inquiry Commission and the views of Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.)
<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/04/15/elizabeth-warren-wall-street_n_7073040.html>,
former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke
<http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/testimony/bernanke20100902a.htm>,
former IMF chief economist Simon Johnson
<http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/too-big-to-fail-standard-bankruptcy-rules-by-simon-johnson-2015-07?barrier=true>,
former Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chair Sheila Bair
<http://www.amazon.com/Bull-Horns-Fighting-Street-Itself/dp/1451672497>,
former bank bailout inspector general Neil Barofsky
<http://www.amazon.com/Bailout-Washington-Abandoned-Street-Rescuing/dp/1451684959/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1453295703&sr=1-1&keywords=Neil+Barofsky>
and
FDIC Vice Chairman Thomas Hoenig
<https://www.fdic.gov/news/news/speeches/spfeb2414.html>, who have all
maintained that "too big to fail" was, in fact, central to the crisis
<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/hillary-clinton-too-big-to-fail_us_569fd359e4b0875553c2a298>
.

Read Galbraith's full letter here
<http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/ResponsetoCEA.pdf>.

===

Robert Naiman
Policy Director
Just Foreign Policy
www.justforeignpolicy.org
[email protected]
(202) 448-2898 x1
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