Sam, I understand the complexity of managing balances in the context of a 
dynamic
capitalist economy.  European growth would contribute to demand in the United 
States,
but I don't see how it would divert Chinese exports from the United States 
unless the
supply of Chinese exports were relatively inelastic.


On Wed, Feb 02, 2005 at 03:04:58PM -0500, Sam Gindin wrote:
>
> Perhaps an analogy may clarify this. The extent of post-war American
> dominance was
> a problem for the US beyond any geopolitical considerations. The US needed a
> healthy Eruope/Japan for a healthy American economy. The revival of
> Europe/Japan did create some headaches for the US but it dod not challenge
> American dominance (in spite of some of the expectations in the crisis of
> the 70s because they were by then integrated into the American empire).
> Today, the US remains dominant and the problems it does have, such as the
> trade deficit, reflect not Europe/Japanese strength but their weakness. The
> US would love them to both be growing again and absorbing some of the
> Chinese imports now concentrated on the US (as well as more American
> exports).

--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail michael at ecst.csuchico.edu

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