Quick questions for David Barkin or Alejandro Valle or others:

How about an injunction ("amparo")?  I know AMLO has refused to seek
one, but would that allow him to protect his political rights in the
mean time?

The Mexican plutocracy got scared with him.  Why?  As the mayor of
Mexico City, he rallied support from Carlos Slim in rebuilding certain
areas of the city.  I guess that illustrates his approach to big
money.  So, why didn't the rich think of him as a Lula as opposed to
-- say -- a Ch�vez?  What was the tipping issue?

What was his book tour in northern Mexico like?  Does he have some
solid support in the northern states?  How do the urban youth look at
him?

To follow up on what David wrote -- if AMLO gets out of this one, he
is going to have plenty of degrees of freedom to turn things around in
the country.  By coming to a head with him, the rich may wind up
Chavez-ifying AMLO, as opposed to Lula-ifying it.  If my daughters'
views are any indication, this is not unthinkable.

(By the by, I don't mean to imply anything negative against Lula,
since my point is that what constrains a leader depends on the depth
of the social forces that propel him/her.)

Julio

On Apr 11, 2005 4:39 PM, david barkin <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Hi there friends:
> 
> In response to Alejandro Valle's posting of one
> Spanish article on the impeachment of the Mexico City
> Mayor,the short followup comments, and the political
> uproar that has followed, I would like to weigh in
> with a comment or two:
> 1)There is little doubt that Lopez Obrador (AMLO- The
> Mayor) will go to jail; if he is found guilty he will
> be ineligible to contend; if the proceedings drag on
> long enough, he will be ineligible to register as a
> candidate, even if he emerges unconvicted!
> 2) There is precious little serious jurisprudence to
> know how the case will be handled by the courts -- but
> once again many judges are proving subservient to the
> political weal of the PRI-PAN attempt to eliminate the
> chief contender for the 2006 presidential campaign.
> 3) The PRD and Cardenas DO NOT offer a serious and
> realistic fall-back position, should AMLO be
> eliminated
> 4) The other parties do not have a clear candidate
> chosen yet either, although the sweepstakes and
> bookies are open.
> 
> The effect of this on the country for the foreseeable
> future will be serious lack of leadership and lots of
> posing without any sector able to exert effective
> control of the economy or the political system -- a
> dreadful type of stalemate --
> 
> Unfortunately, at the end, everyone will come out
> weaker, unless somehow AMLO manages to emerge as the
> big winner.
> 
> Saludos
> David Barkin
> 
> 
> David Barkin
> Mexico
> 
> 
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