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Tuesday, March 14, 2006

EDITORIAL: Pak-Afghan relations continue to sour
http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2006\03\14\story_14-3-2006_pg3_1

Relations between Pakistan and Afghanistan took another turn for the worse
last Sunday when Sebghatullah Mujadidi, a former Afghan president and
current head of Afghanistan's upper house of parliament, accused Pakistan of
plotting the suicide attack in Kabul against him in which at least four
people were killed, including the two bombers. Afghan President Hamid
Karzai, while not naming Pakistan, blamed "foreigners" for the car bombing.
Elsewhere in Afghanistan a roadside bomb killed three US soldiers while the
Taliban kidnapped four Albanians in southern Afghanistan.

The violence, especially the attack on Mr Mujadidi, has further soured the
atmosphere between Islamabad and Kabul. Mr Mujadidi has reportedly been
saying that the attack was planned by Pakistan's intelligence agencies. Mr
Karzai, on the other hand, told the media that the Afghanistan government
had been warned a couple of months ago that senior Afghan government
officials, including Mr Mujadidi, would be targeted. "With no doubt,
Afghanistan in the past 30 years has been destroyed by the hands of
foreigners...there is no doubt that this attack too is by foreigners," Mr
Karzai told the media in Kabul and said that Mr Mujadidi's claim of
Pakistani involvement would be investigated.

The attack on Mr Mujadidi is condemnable and regrettable. But what he and Mr
Karzai have said indicates that the war of words between Pakistan and
Afghanistan is unlikely to end soon, especially if Islamabad chooses to hit
back. It also indicates that those who thought they were wronged by
Pakistan - Mr Mujadidi being one such - are straining at the leash to speak
out. There is great temptation for Pakistan to retaliate but that is
precisely what is so inimical to preventing the current slide in relations
and then building them. The present dispensation in Kabul has shown itself
to be anti-Pakistan but not without reason. Islamabad has meddled in
Afghanistan for more than three decades. Some of its actions and policies
were justified; others were not. It is now in the unenviable position of
being under attack not only from its erstwhile proxies, the Taliban, who it
has had to ditch, but also from those like the Northern Alliance that were
opposed to the Taliban - and to Pakistan - and are now in the driving seat
in Afghanistan.

Kabul has correctly estimated that it can blame everything on Pakistan and
get away with it because there are not many buyers for Pakistan's viewpoint.
The Indians are propagating against Pakistan; the US military commanders and
intelligence officials say the Taliban are entering Afghanistan from
Pakistani territory; the Europeans are not convinced that Pakistan is doing
enough; the US media is projecting the view that General Pervez Musharraf is
double-crossing the Bush administration, and so on. There is pressure on
Pakistan from all sides even as Islamabad has deployed nearly 70,000 troops
along the Durand Line in its tribal agencies. On this side, there have been
many skirmishes between Pakistani troops and roaming Taliban-Al Qaeda
elements and hundreds of people have died. Yet the focus constantly shifts
from military operations on the Pakistani side to acts of violence in
Afghanistan. Even the sympathetic view maintains that while General
Musharraf might be interested in cleansing the area, some elements within
the Pakistani intelligence security may be playing a different game. All
this can be traced back to Pakistan's misplaced Afghanistan policy in the
1990s that it had to reverse after 9/11 ahead of America's invasion of
Afghanistan in October 2001.

Retaliation is not in Pakistan's interest. The most important thing for the
Pakistanis is to decide whether we are trying to purge the tribal areas of
extremist elements because we want to do this or whether we have to do it
under pressure from the United States. Our view is that cleaning up the area
is in Pakistan's interest, first and foremost. We reported on Sunday that
local Taliban commanders in Waziristan asked the clerics to announce the end
of the jirga system in the area. This means that the Taliban are not only
present in the area but that they are strong enough to issue directives and
force the local tribesmen to follow them. This is not a happy sign and
Islamabad needs to do something about it. Pakistan's policy must move from
the short- to medium- to the long-term. First, it must win adherents in the
US and Europe for its policy of fencing the Durand Line. Emphasis on
erecting the fence would show that it is sincere in creating hurdles in the
way of those elements which are interested in a porous border. Along with
this, Islamabad should start reforming FATA. Its best bet is to focus on the
educated youth of the area. These young men have despaired of a good future.
Islamabad needs to co-opt them and give them employment and hope. The hated
Frontier Crimes Regulations must be replaced with municipal laws that can be
enforced. Simultaneously, Islamabad should continue with its military
operations and take out leaders of the extremist elements.

But what Islamabad must not do, despite the temptation, as we have earlier
noted, is to strike back at Afghanistan. It would serve no purpose and
merely exacerbate the problem. Even weaker neighbours, if and when they
choose to defy stronger states, can become a nuisance. Within the region we
have the recent examples of India-Bangladesh and India-Nepal relations. Even
Nepal has decided to hit back at New Delhi and there is not much that India
can do about it except fulminate. That lesson should not be lost on us. *

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