Wouldn't Jim's point be correct that that natural rate is given-by namture, but 
that evil
policies, such as worker protections, can raise it even futher?


On Tue, May 02, 2006 at 05:47:00PM -0400, Doug Henwood wrote:
> Jim Devine wrote:
>
> >CB: > But Friedman counts low unemployment as bad for his class too,
> >doesn't he ?
> >>Tight labor market causes, well, wages to rise, because there aren't as many
> >>unemployed competing for jobs, no ?
> >
> >I don't know what he thinks about his class. He uses the word
> >"natural," which suggests that he sees a certain amount of
> >unemployment as something Nature bestows upon us. And if you mess with
> >Mother Nature (getting the actual unemployment rate too low), then
> >Mother Nature punishes you (with accelerating inflation).
>
> To be fair to Friedman, he did acknowledge that the "natural" rate
> could move about, depending on the state of social affairs
> <http://nobelprize.org/economics/laureates/1976/friedman-lecture.pdf>:
> "The 'natural rate of unemployment', a term I introduced to parallel
> Knut Wicksell's 'natural rate of interest', is not a numerical
> constant but depends on 'real' as opposed to monetary factors - the
> effectiveness of the labor market, the extent of competition or
> monopoly, the barriers or encouragements to working in various
> occupations, and so on."
>
> Doug

--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail michael at ecst.csuchico.edu

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