The Tripolar Chessboard
Putting Iran in Great Power Context
By Michael T. Klare

For months, the American press and policy-making elite have portrayed the
crisis with Iran as a two-sided struggle between Washington and Tehran,
with the European powers as well as Russia and China playing supporting
roles. It is certainly true that George Bush and Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad are the leading protagonists in this drama, with each making
inflammatory statements about the other in order to whip up public support
at home. But an informed reading of recent international diplomacy
surrounding the Iranian crisis suggests that another equally fierce -- and
undoubtedly more important -- struggle is also taking place: a tripolar
contest between the United States, Russia, and China for domination of the
greater Persian Gulf/Caspian Sea region and its mammoth energy reserves.

When it comes to grand strategy, top Bush administration officials have
long attempted to maintain American dominance of the "global chessboard"
(as they see it) by diminishing the influence of the only other significant
players, Russia and China. This classic geopolitical contest began with a
flourish in early 2001, when the White House signaled the provocative
course it planned to follow by unilaterally repudiating the U.S.-Russian
Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty and announcing new high-tech arms sales to
Taiwan, which China still considers a breakaway province. After 9/11, these
initial signals of antagonism were toned down in order to secure Russian
and Chinese assistance in fighting the war on terror, but in recent months
the classic chessboard version of great-power politics has again come to
dominate strategic thinking in Washington.

full: http://www.tomdispatch.com/index.mhtml?pid=92161

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