On 7/26/06, Daniel Davies <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
I think we can be pretty clear on the subject of whether Hezbollah are ever
going to be our mates or not; I think the answer is that they aren't and if
one of them ever subscribes to PEN-L I will make a point of asking him some
hard questions about sharia law and about his relationship with Iran.

<blockquote>Another change that is impossible to ignore is the growing
prominence of female activists in the party [Hezbollah], a development
that makes the party progressive by Islamist standards. "One would
have to be blind not to notice the changes Hezbollah has undergone,"
says Joseph Samaha, a secular Christian writer for the daily as-Safir.
"Has Hezbollah tried to ban books or impose sharia? Not once. Their
electoral program is [an] almost social democratic [one]. So we're
confronting a very different kind of Fundamentalist party."

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

While Iran continues to supply Hezbollah with money and arms,
including Katyushas that arrive through Syrian ports, it has shown
increasing restraint since the mid-1990s, when it used Hezbollah
agents to strike at American and Jewish targets outside Israel. Iran's
foreign minister, Kamal Kharazi, has urged Nasrallah to avoid giving
Israel a pretext for attacking Lebanon. Although American officials
have called attention to the presence of about a hundred Hezbollah
members in Iraq, few believe that they are organizing violent
resistance.[10] Every Hezbollah official I spoke to vehemently denied
such reports, some indicating that they would welcome diplomatic
relations with the United States.

(Adam Shatz, "In Search of Hezbollah" [a review of International
Crisis Group, Hizbollah: Rebel Without a Cause?" Trans. Helena
Ragg-Kirkby, 30 July 2003; Christoph Reuter, My Life Is a Weapon: A
Modern History of Suicide Bombing, Princeton University Press, 2004;
Amal Saad-Ghorayeb, Hizbu'llah: Politics and Ideology, Pluto, 2002;
Daniel Byman, Should Hezbollah Be Next? Foreign Affairs,
November/December 2003; Augustus Richard Norton, Hizballah of Lebanon:
Extremist Ideals vs. Mundane Politics, Council on Foreign Relations,
1999; Judith Palmer Harik, The Changing Face of Terrorism, I.B.
Tauris, 2004; Sami G. Hajjar, Hizballah: Terrorism, National
Liberation, or Menace?, Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War
College, August 2002], New York Review of Books, 51.7, 29 April 2004,
<http://www.mafhoum.com/press7/190P8.htm>)</blockquote>

On
the other hand Carrol does have a point that if Hezbollah get wiped out, the
result will be a massive opportunity for Al-Qaeda; the British AQ wannabe
internet boards are already alive with gloating at the IDF wiping out the
Shia infidels and leaving god knows how many pissed off Northern Lebanese
Sunnis to recruit.

That is extraordinarily good news.  That's as good as this:

<blockquote>Politically they are currently allied to General Michel
Aoun, the non-sectarian yet Christian heavyweight of Lebanese politics
who has stood by his Shi'ite allies during their latest confrontation
with Israel. Aoun's alliance has prevented the Christian street from
turning against Hezbollah. The Israelis wanted everybody in Lebanon,
the Christians included, to suffer great loss in human life and
property so that they would come out and blame Nasrallah for their
misery.

Because of Aoun that has not happened. Rather, the Christians are
offering shelter to the Shi'ites whose homes have been destroyed, and
Christian charity organizations, as well as churches and monasteries,
are doing their share of humanitarian work to decrease the suffering
of the Shi'ites. (Sami Moubayed, "Hezbollah Banks on Home-ground
Advantage," 26 July 2006,
<http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HG26Ak01.html>)

--
Yoshie
<http://montages.blogspot.com/>
<http://mrzine.org>
<http://monthlyreview.org/>

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