I just listened to a podcast of Marshall Goldman regarding the Russian economy. 
 He,
like Chris Doss over at LBOtalk, emphasizes the importance of rising oil prices 
for
Russia.
http://forum.wgbh.org/wgbh/forum.php?lecture_id=3115

This lecture got me thinking about Peter Schweitzer, a media fellow at the 
Hoover
Institution.  Schweitzer tells how William Casey conspired with Saudi Arabia to 
drop
oil prices to destroy the Soviet Union.  I post the source below, but anyway, 
the
idea occurred to me that had to Communists held on a bit longer, unit the oil 
price
exploded, there might be only one superpower in the world -- and it might not 
be the
US.

OK.  That is a stretch, but I think it serves as an antidote to the triumphal 
blather
about the demise of communism.

Schweizer, Peter. 1994. Victory: The Reagan Administration's Secret Strategy 
That
Hastened the Collapse of the Soviet Union (NY: Atlantic Monthly Press).
31: William Casey met with Prince Turki of Saudi Arabia.  He showed him raw
intelligence reports to make him fearful about Saudi security.  "What Casey was
trying to do was to send a prince a message.  No single world oil producer had a
greater effect on world oil prices than Saudi Arabia."  "By raising the issues 
of oil
pricing and the U.S. -- Saudi security relationship in the same conversation, 
Casey
was in effect saying that the two were related.  It was an element of the Reagan
strategy.  "We wanted lower oil prices, "recalls Weinberger.  "That's one of the
reasons we were selling them arms"." citing an interview with the author.



--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail michael at ecst.csuchico.edu

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