Gar Lipow wrote:

how  close my guess is.

I'd say you were right on the money.

Marv wrote:

I've read elsewhere that if the partial
recount shows anomalies, as it should,
the electoral court can keep ordering
more ballot boxes to be opened before
its jurisdiction ends next month. The
popular pressure can effectively keep
pushing it in that direction.

Right.  I've also read that.  I believe this idea was started by Jorge
Zepeda Paterson, a political journalist in El Universal.  This guy
said in an article that the ruling should be interpreted as a strong
rebuke to the IFE, the election arbiter.  After all, it's almost 10%
of the polling places.  And, as Marv says, Zepeda claimed this could
turn out to be the beginning of the unraveling, since the tribunal
could then extend the recount, etc.

At this point, I believe this kind of interpretation is sheer
speculation.  And the wishful thinking about the motivations of the
magistrates may have a crippling effect on the movement.  The movement
is in crescendo and people want the full recount.  As is, the ruling
is shameful.  More was expected of the tribunal.  They should receive
no benefit of the doubt, as far as I'm concerned.  And, just to
re-state what Marv says, if it was an astute move by the tribunal to
begin cleaning of the election, then that will only happen if the
people remain active and engaged -- which they will if they keep the
eye on the ball.

Tomorrow, they will move the encamping to the area around the
tribunal's building, which is not near El Zócalo.  So people will
march there and then install themselves around the building.

Julio

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