Shortly after the invasion of Iraq began (April 2003, I think), I
attended a panel discussion on the Iraq War held at the OSU law
school, one of whose panelists was John Mueller.  He was very good,
much better than a liberal woman law professor (I forgot her name) who
was also on the panel (the other two were conservative).  He was
clear, even at that time, that Washington wouldn't be able to pacify
and control Iraq, when many liberals and leftists were not yet
committed to the necessity of US withdrawal.

On 8/17/06, Michael Perelman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Mueller, John. 2004. "A False Sense of Insecurity?" Regulation (Fall): pp. 
42-46.
John Mueller holds the humorously named Woody Hayes Chair of National Security
Studies at the Mershon Center at Ohio State University.  For those who don't 
know
football history, Google will tell you about the rise and fall of Woody Hayes.
42: "Until 2001, far fewer Americans were killed in any grouping of years by all
forms of international terrorism than were killed by lightning, and almost none 
of
those terrorist deaths occurred within the United States itself.  Even with the
September 11 attacks included in the count, the number of Americans killed by
international terrorism since the late 1960s (which is when the State Department
began counting) is about the same as the number of Americans killed over the
same period by lightning, accident-causing deer, or severe allergic reaction to
peanuts."
43: He refers to "hyperbolic overreaction."
44: " University of Michigan transportation researchers Michael Sivak and 
Michael
Flannagan, in an article last year in American Scientist, wrote that they 
determined
there would have to be one
set of September 11 crashes a month for the risks to balance out.  More 
generally,
they calculate that an American.s chance of being killed in one nonstop airline
flight is about one in 13 million (even taking the September 11 crashes into
account).  To reach that same level of risk when driving on America.s safest 
roads --
rural interstate highways -- one would have to travel a mere 11.2 miles."



--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
michaelperelman.wordpress.com



--
Yoshie
<http://montages.blogspot.com/>
<http://mrzine.org>
<http://monthlyreview.org/>

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