Apocalypse postponed

So far, so good. Despite predictions that Iran would launch nuclear
war today, the world has not ended quite yet.

Brian Whitaker

August 22, 2006 11:57 AM | the GUARDIAN.

So far, so good. I don't want to alarm anyone, but today (August 22)
is the date chosen by Iran for "the apocalyptic ending of Israel and,
if necessary, of the world" - at least according to Professor Bernard
Lewis, the White House's favourite historian.

Since the prof made his prediction on the op-ed page of the Wall
Street Journal a couple of weeks ago, it has made quite a stir in the
nuttier fringes of the American media and on the Israeli fantasy
website Debka (which I have written about before), and was even
referred to seriously last weekend by the British Sunday Times.

The bizarre apocalypse theory hinges on a single fact: that Iran
promised to give the US its final answer on the question of nuclear
development by August 22. From an Iranian point of view, this was a
bit like saying "You can have our reply by the end of the month",
because August 22 in the western calendar happens to be the last day
of the month known as Mordad in the Persian calendar.

Those hoping for a more sinister explanation for Iran's choice of date
turned to the Islamic calendar and noted that August 22 corresponds to
the 27th day of Rajab. This, Professor Lewis observed, "is the night
when many Muslims commemorate the night flight of the prophet Muhammad
on the winged horse Buraq, first to 'the farthest mosque', usually
identified with Jerusalem, and then to heaven and back (cf, Koran
XVII.1)."

On the basis of no evidence whatsoever, he then added: "This might
well be deemed an appropriate date for the apocalyptic ending of
Israel and, if necessary, of the world."
The purpose of all this scaremongering is obviously to build up fears
about an Iranian nuclear attack. The main obstacle to promoting such
fears is that Iran does not possess any nuclear weapons but Lewis
seems determined not to let that stand in the way and apparently
believes that Iran already has a fully-prepared arsenal.

"There is a radical difference between the Islamic Republic of Iran
and other governments with nuclear weapons," he has been quoted as
saying. "This difference is expressed in what can only be described as
the apocalyptic worldview of Iran's present rulers."

[gee, isn't there a major country in North America that's led by
someone with an apocalyptic worldview?]

When I first wrote about the apocalypse theory on Comment is free, I
suggested that Prof Lewis had completely lost his marbles, but I was
wrong about that. He had merely picked up someone else's lost marbles.

Lewis was happy to give the apocalypse story his own imprimatur in the
Wall Street Journal but I have since discovered that he was not the
person who originally dreamed it up.

On July 24 - two weeks before Lewis wrote in the Wall Street Journal -
an article appeared on the Media Line website. It said:

   People of the Middle East are obsessed with symbolism, especially
when it strongly supports honour and dignity. When a statement by the
Supreme National Security Council of Iran says it will reply by August
22 to the western incentive package to stop enriching uranium, it
chose that date for a very precise reason.

   August 21, 2006 (Rajab 27, 1427) is known in the Islamic calendar
as the Night of the Sira'a and Miira'aj, the night Prophet Mohammed
(saas) ascended to heaven from the Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem on a
Bourak (Half animal, half man), while a great light lit-up the night
sky, and visited Heaven and Hell also Beit al-Saada and Beit al-Shaqaa
(House of Happiness and House of Misery) and then descended back to
Mecca. The night of August 21 is a very, very important night in
Shia'a Islam. What Iran's Ahmadinajead is promising the world by
August 22 is the light in the sky over the Aqsa Mosque that took place
the night before. That is his answer to the package of incentives the
international community offered Iran on June 6.

   The world and especially the US State Department should take this
date seriously. Nothing happens without a reason in Iran and the
events in Lebanon were intentionally started by Hezbollah, with Iran's
tacit knowledge and approval leading to the Rajab 27 night when it
delivers its answer, in the form of "light in the sky", over the Aqsa
Mosque.


Three days later, this was taken up by the neocon organ, Front Page
Magazine, in an article by Robert Spencer, the founder of a nasty
website known as Jihad Watch.

The author of the original Media Line article was a Syrian-American
called Farid Ghadry who runs the Washington-based Reform Party of
Syria. Ghadry spends a lot of time hob-nobbing with prominent neocons
- apparently in the hope that the US will eventually install him as
president of Syria. His ambitions in that direction have become so
transparent that he has often been likened to Ahmad Chalabi, the Iraqi
exile who was once favoured by the Pentagon to succeed Saddam Hussein.

Besides scaremongering over Iran, Ghadry has also been trying to stir
up fears about Syrian weapons. As part of his case for regime change
in Damascus, his blog on August 13 claimed the Syrian Air Force had
been testing "chemical weapons aerial delivery". In true Chalabi
style, this was attributed to "well informed sources inside Syria".

Having left Syria at the age of 10, Ghadry has little first-hand
knowledge of the country he hopes to lead and some of his plans for
toppling the Assad regime (he once told the Americans all they had to
do was to drop leaflets over Damascus, urging the people to rise up)
are reminiscent of Chalabi's misplaced optimism.

Nevertheless, Ghadry seems to have chums in all the usual neocon
places, including Richard Perle, one of the chief architect of the
Iraq invasion, and soothsayer Michael Ledeen who made the famously
wrong prediction that Iran would test its first nuclear weapon on
November 5, 2003.

The last time I wrote about this crowd, a reader expressed some
surprise that White House policymakers rely on such people: why not
try astrology instead?

Personally, I don't seek guidance from the stars but the idea does
have something to commend it. The results would surely be no worse
than at present and, with luck, perhaps even a little better.

If anyone would like to explore this further, here's a handy guide to
the star signs of some key players:

TAURUS: Tony Blair (May 6) and Saddam Hussein (April 28).
PISCES: Osama bin Laden (March 10) and Ariel Sharon (February 26) - retired.
SCORPIO: President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran (October 20), Binyamin
Netanyahu of Israel (October 21) and Condoleezza Rice (November 14).
VIRGO: Hassan Nasrallah of Hizbullah (August 31) and President Bashar
al-Assad of Syria (September 11).
LIBRA: Ehud Olmert (September 30).
CANCER: George Bush (July 6) and Donald Rumsfeld (July 9), plus
Alexander the Great, Henry VIII, Julius Caesar, Princess Diana and
Imelda Marcos.

--
Jim Devine / "Advocates of capitalism are very apt to appeal to the
sacred principles of liberty, which are embodied in one maxim: The
fortunate must not be restrained in the exercise of tyranny over the
unfortunate."-- Bertrand Russell

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