From AxisofLogic.com
http://www.axisoflogic.com/artman/publish/printer_23261.shtml

Critical Analysis
Venezuela and China – Towards a Multi-Polar World
By Michael Locker and Dave Hancock
Oct 17, 2006, 13:50

Venezuela is currently attempting to break the iron grip of the United
States and the multinational corporations that continue to play a
dominant role in its economy.  The long term goal is to create an
alternative international system that promotes social development over
profit promotes productive sovereignty and bilateral cooperation over
the short sighted demands of international finance.  In order to shift
the global balance of power and fuel the economic development of
Venezuela in the interests of its own people, Chavez seeks to forge
strong international ties with other developing nations to secure the
necessary capital, technology and expertise traditionally provided by
the multinational corporations and institutions he is looking to
neutralize. Venezuela's growing strategic relationship with China is
but one example of this emerging trend.

Moving in this direction, China and Venezuela have recently announced
the signing of at least eight major agreements in hopes of developing
stronger energy and economic ties.  Worth approximately $11 billion
these agreements cover a number of strategic issues including access
to oil, banking, and transportation.

In terms of energy, China will invest approximately $2 billion in
Venezuela's oil industry through the creation of a Chinese-Venezuelan
joint venture, according to Bloomberg News.  This new entity will
exploit the untapped oil reserves in the Zumano region and the Orinoco
oil belt. Zumano has reserves of about 400 million barrels of light
oil and 4 trillion cubic feet of natural gas.  PDVSA, the state-owned
Venezuelan oil company, will hold a majority stake in this joint
venture.  The two countries will also form a joint venture to explore
and certify a portion of Venezuela's untapped heavy oil reserves,
which Chavez
says may contain an additional 235 billion barrels of oil.

The explicit goal of this venture is to increase Chinese imports of
Venezuelan oil to 500,000 barrels in five years, up from the 150,000
barrels a day currently imported.  This relationship is beneficial for
China as it searches for a stable and plentiful source of oil to meet
its skyrocketing domestic needs.  The deal is also in Venezuela's best
interest as it looks to diversify its oil exports, shifting away from
its dependence on the US market which currently buys approximately 3/4
of its daily exports of 2 million barrels.

Most importantly, this new joint venture will allow Venezuela to make
sorely needed investments in its oil industry.  This necessary but
extremely expensive investment in technology, infrastructure and the
exploration of new, untapped, heavy oil fields will be conducted
without relying on the expertise and financial support of private oil
companies which are increasingly loath to make long term investments
in the context of growing state intervention.  Furthermore, the
Chinese are in a perfect position to help Venezuela explore its
difficult, untapped reserves due to their experience in 'enhanced oil
recovery from older, life-long fields,' according to Gavin Thompson of
energy consulting firm Wood Mackenzie.

The bilateral agreements signed by the Chinese and the Venezuelan
governments have far reaching implications that go beyond the oil
industry.  In addition to the $2 billion set aside for investment in
energy the Chinese government has pledged some $9 billion for the
construction of Venezuela's national rail system, an infrastructure
plan intricately linked to the Venezuelan government's ambitious goals
of import substitution and rapid domestic industrial development.

The high grade rails necessary for the execution of this plan will be
strategically produced at a nascent state owned industrial facility
called the City of Steel.  Located in Estado de Bolivar, the iron and
steel capital of Venezuela, the City of Steel will contain a number of
strategic industrial facilities that will one day comprise the
"nucleus" of the "transformative sector" of the economy, according to
the government.

Included in the City of Steel will be a state-of-the-art iron ore
concentration plant which will process iron ore for use in steel
production. Roughly $350 million has been set aside for this plant
whose design and construction are presently being overseen by Spanish
and Canadian firms.  The entire plant will be completed in late 2007,
but the first phase is on pace to be finished by November 1, 2006 --
prior to the upcoming presidential election.  In addition to the iron
ore concentration plant, the government is planning to build a steel
mill, a seamless tube plant, and the rail fabrication plant.  The
steel mill will be dedicated to substituting imports and will not
compete with domestic producers. The seamless tube plant will supply
the natural gas and oil industry with the inputs necessary for its
expansion plans which are intricately tied to the aforementioned
Venezuelan-Chinese joint venture.  The rail fabrication plant will be
geared towards the needs of the planned national rail system, which,
as was previously mentioned, is being funded in part with $9 billion
in direct Chinese government investment.  In addition to merely
funding the project, the Chinese are in a strong position to
contribute their own technical expertise and practical experience in
the development of extensive rail networks.

Organized as Social Production Enterprises, each of these businesses
will be subject to worker co-management and less-hierarchical modes of
internal organization. The government estimates that the City of Steel
will generate some 2,770 direct jobs and another 8,310 indirect jobs
and will end up costing more than $2 billion.

These state-owned enterprises in the City of Steel will form an
essential part of the Venezuelan government's policy of "endogenous
development," which seeks to achieve "productive sovereignty" through
the promotion of import substitution and the development of domestic
industry. According to Victor Alvarez, former Venezuelan Minister of
Basic Industries and Mines, "the objective is that we will not import
even a gram of aluminum or a kilogram of wood," adding, "In 2012… we
should be processing 100 percent of our raw materials, our basic
products in this country."

In addition to the previously discussed agreements, China and
Venezuela are in talks to create a permanent mechanism for further
bilateral development assistance in the form of a 'strategic fund of
bilateral cooperation.'  This fund would be designed to circumvent the
influence of American and European financial institutions and would
resemble the $2 billion joint development fund recently created by
Iran and Venezuela.

Contrary to the claims of his critics, Chavez's vision of "endogenous
development" is not one of anti-globalization or international
isolation. Instead, as demonstrated by its developing relationship
with China and other countries, the Venezuelan model rejects the
traditional role of western finance capital and multinational
corporate power in order to promote a new international order founded
on the principals of bilateral cooperation, mutual assistance,
productive sovereignty and social development.

Michael Locker is President of Locker Associates Inc., an economic
consulting firm based in New York City.

Dave Hancock is a student at the Gallatin School of Individualized
Study at New York University.

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