No.  What I am saying is that lifting costs are (largely) unrelated to
peak oil. Discovery, transportation, upgrade and capital costs are
related to peak oil if peak oil is properly understood to be the peak of
conventional oil (as Hubbert described it) though the concept can be
applied to oil plus heavy oil plus synthetic oil plus etc. as each
successive supply reaches its peal.  Discovery, transport, upgrade and
capital costs are directly related to the scarcity of conventional,
sweet, non-frontier crude.  In any case, even if lift costs are constant
but the supply of new oil is coming on stream slower than demand is
rising, even first year economics will tell you the price will rise and
keep on rising as long as demand increases faster than supply, even if
it isn't peaking.  Ricardo described this two centuries ago.

Paul P

sartesian wrote:
What you describe does not call into question the relevance of  "lifting
costs" but of peak oil itself.  Transport and upgrade costs are not a
function of scarcity, supply, or peak, but are capital costs-- social,
economic, property factors.


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